AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:00 PM
Away
Southern
—
11p
#36Home
Houston
0-0 · AVR 60.1
44p
SOU 1%99% HOU
Spread
HOU -32.4
Total
55
Moneyline
SOU—HOU—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Houston
DBWill James
88.916/1427
LBBrandon Mack II
78.177/878
LBLatreveon McCutchin
75.4102/878
DBJamaal Shaw
73.3171/1427
DBJavion White
73.1175/1427
WRAmare Thomas
69.457/777

also out — L. McGary (TE), M. Tounkara (WR)

Projected margin

80% between 16 and 49
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKHOU +32.495% interval: 9.4 to 55.380% interval: 15.6 to 49.1+16+49SOU wins 1%HOU wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ HOU 46–11 SOUHOU 42–35 SOU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesHOU 46–32 SOU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesHOU 49–28 SOU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesHOU 53–25 SOU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesHOU 56–21 SOU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesHOU 60–18 SOU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesHOU 63–14 SOU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesHOU 67–11 SOU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesHOU 70–7 SOU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesHOU 39–32 SOU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesHOU 42–28 SOU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesHOU 46–25 SOU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesHOU 49–21 SOU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesHOU 53–18 SOU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesHOU 56–14 SOU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesHOU 60–11 SOU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesHOU 63–7 SOU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesHOU 67–4 SOU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesHOU 35–28 SOU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesHOU 39–25 SOU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesHOU 42–21 SOU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesHOU 46–18 SOU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesHOU 49–14 SOU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesHOU 53–11 SOU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesHOU 56–7 SOU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesHOU 60–4 SOU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesHOU 63–0 SOU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesHOU 32–25 SOU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesHOU 35–21 SOU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesHOU 39–18 SOU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesHOU 42–14 SOU neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesHOU 46–11 SOU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesHOU 49–7 SOU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesHOU 53–4 SOU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesHOU 56–0 SOU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)HOU 28–21 SOU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesHOU 32–18 SOU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesHOU 35–14 SOU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesHOU 39–11 SOU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesHOU 42–7 SOU neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesHOU 46–4 SOU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesHOU 49–0 SOU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)HOU 25–18 SOU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesHOU 28–14 SOU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesHOU 32–11 SOU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesHOU 35–7 SOU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesHOU 39–4 SOU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesHOU 42–0 SOU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)HOU 21–14 SOU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesHOU 25–11 SOU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesHOU 28–7 SOU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesHOU 32–4 SOU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesHOU 35–0 SOU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalHOU +7HOU +21HOU +35HOU +49HOU +63margin →