Passing
NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- COLO offense
- #108
- NU defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.09
#108
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
COLO 44.2%55.8% NU
- Projected margin
- NU by 2.1
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- COLO 19 to NU 22
- Win probability
- NU 55.8%
FinalCOLO 7 · NU 41model had +2.1, off by 31.9
Current team profiles
ColoradoNorthwesternWhen Colorado has the ball
Rushing
NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- COLO offense
- #132
- NU defense
- #73
EPA comparison
-0.10
#132
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- COLO offense
- #107
- NU defense
- #104
Success rates
40%
#107
43%
#104
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#125
0.06
#69
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.11
#26
Explosiveness
17%
#106
17%
#49
Havoc
When Northwestern has the ball
Passing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- COLO defense
- #79
- NU offense
- #9
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.52
#9
Pass EPA
Rushing
COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
- COLO defense
- #12
- NU offense
- #21
EPA comparison
-0.14
#12
0.23
#21
Rush EPA
Drive success
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- COLO defense
- #37
- NU offense
- #21
Success rates
37%
#37
49%
#21
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#34
0.33
#8
EPA / play
1.20
#57
1.31
#29
Explosiveness
21%
#13
15%
#69
Havoc
Current key players
ColoradoQBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 85.7
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.7
- Coverage
- 71.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 4
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.0
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02
Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.
- Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01
Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.
- Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02
Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.
- Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01
Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.
- Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01
Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.
- Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01
Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.
- DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02
Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.
NorthwesternQBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 35.0
- Run blocking
- 60.8
- Penalties
- 1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.
- Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,
- Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
COLOColorado
NUNorthwestern
vs
Offense
60.1
#132 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.8
#87 of 138
81.9
#24 of 138
RB
Running backs
80.3
#34 of 138
71.8
#64 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.2
#126 of 138
56.5
#135 of 138
TE
Tight ends
85.0
#11 of 138
71.2
#43 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.8
#89 of 138
Defense
77.4
#31 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.7
#118 of 138
74.1
#69 of 138
LB
Linebackers
68.7
#115 of 138
75.0
#34 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.6
#75 of 138