Passing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #6
- GASO defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.26
#102
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HOU 87.5%12.5% GASO
- Projected margin
- HOU by 19.2
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- HOU 41 to GASO 3
- Win probability
- HOU 87.5%
FinalHOU 42 · GASO 28model had -19.2, off by 5.2
Current team profiles
Houston
Georgia SouthernWhen Houston has the ball
Rushing
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #21
- GASO defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
0.01
#52
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU offense
- #2
- GASO defense
- #52
Success rates
55%
#2
39%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#5
0.09
#81
EPA / play
1.09
#127
1.15
#32
Explosiveness
10%
#7
17%
#52
Havoc
When Georgia Southern has the ball
Passing
GASO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #93
- GASO offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #33
- GASO offense
- #107
EPA comparison
-0.05
#33
0.01
#107
Rush EPA
Drive success
HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HOU defense
- #55
- GASO offense
- #75
Success rates
39%
#55
43%
#75
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.14
#75
EPA / play
1.32
#111
1.22
#81
Explosiveness
20%
#19
17%
#105
Havoc
Current key players
HoustonQBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.0
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 83.4
- Penalties
- 0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.2
- Coverage
- 78.7
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
- John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05
Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11
Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th
- Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Georgia SouthernQBWeston Bryan
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
78.782/729
LBMJ Stroud
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.4
- Coverage
- 65.9
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.787/1796
DBJakyri Jones
29 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.6
- Coverage
- 69.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 49
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.1
- Missed tackles
- 4
76.5145/2969
RBTaeo Todd
48 yds · 0 TD · 2.7 YPC
74.1192/1044
DBChace Calicut
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.7
- Coverage
- 64.8
- Targets allowed
- 10
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 65
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.2268/2969
WRCam King
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
72.9172/2069
Availability reports · 1
- Ashton Hollins · WRout · 2026-10-01
Hollins is liad up with a shoulder injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HOUHouston
GASOGeorgia Southern
vs
Offense
90.4
#19 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.7
#63 of 138
87.3
#4 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.2
#95 of 138
77.3
#22 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.3
#70 of 138
88.6
#5 of 138
TE
Tight ends
66.0
#85 of 138
76.2
#12 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.9
#68 of 138
Defense
80.3
#15 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.9
#123 of 138
77.6
#40 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.5
#75 of 138
72.8
#58 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.7
#73 of 138