Passing
ISU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WVU offense
- #82
- ISU defense
- #79
EPA comparison
0.17
#82
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WVU 25.0%75.0% ISU
- Projected margin
- ISU by 10.6
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- WVU 7 to ISU 30
- Win probability
- ISU 75.0%
FinalWVU 42 · ISU 45model had +10.6, off by 7.6
Current team profiles
West VirginiaIowa StateWhen West Virginia has the ball
Rushing
WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WVU offense
- #55
- ISU defense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.03
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
Same rank
- WVU offense
- #73
- ISU defense
- #73
Success rates
43%
#73
40%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#71
0.07
#75
EPA / play
1.30
#32
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
13%
#35
15%
#79
Havoc
When Iowa State has the ball
Passing
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WVU defense
- #130
- ISU offense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.44
#130
0.17
#82
Pass EPA
Rushing
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WVU defense
- #73
- ISU offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
ISU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WVU defense
- #122
- ISU offense
- #111
Success rates
46%
#122
39%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#120
0.13
#79
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.30
#31
Explosiveness
16%
#74
18%
#121
Havoc
Current key players
West VirginiaQBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.4
- Coverage
- 76.6
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 3
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.6
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 68
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.9
- Missed tackles
- 6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10
Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.
- John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10
Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.
- Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10
Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10
Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WVUWest Virginia
ISUIowa State
vs
Offense
90.0
#24 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.4
#124 of 138
75.6
#67 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.6
#25 of 138
79.6
#12 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.0
#63 of 138
63.9
#98 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.6
#124 of 138
66.6
#81 of 138
OL
Offensive line
70.2
#51 of 138
Defense
67.5
#129 of 138
DL
Defensive line
78.3
#22 of 138
72.5
#83 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.3
#77 of 138
74.7
#38 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#19 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
West Virginia
opponent
Iowa State
Hhome-17.0
OKSTOklahoma State#52+12.0Hhome
Hhome-21.0
ARIZArizona#25-7.1Aaway
Aaway-19.6
UTAHUtah#9-14.0Hhome
Hhome+0.3
CINCincinnati#59+5.3Hhome