Passing
BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #82
- BYU defense
- #16
EPA comparison
0.17
#82
-0.02
#16
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Fri Oct 9 · 10:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ISU 30.3%69.7% BYU
- Projected margin
- BYU by 8.2
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- ISU 10 to BYU 29
- Win probability
- BYU 69.7%
FinalISU 10 · BYU 24model had +8.2, off by 5.8
Current team profiles
Iowa StateBYUWhen Iowa State has the ball
Rushing
BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #63
- BYU defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU offense
- #111
- BYU defense
- #32
Success rates
39%
#111
35%
#32
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#79
-0.08
#13
EPA / play
1.30
#31
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
18%
#121
20%
#17
Havoc
When BYU has the ball
Passing
BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #79
- BYU offense
- #70
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.23
#70
Pass EPA
Rushing
BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #63
- BYU offense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.03
#63
0.36
#1
Rush EPA
Drive success
BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ISU defense
- #73
- BYU offense
- #7
Success rates
40%
#73
52%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#75
0.30
#16
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.18
#96
Explosiveness
15%
#79
8%
#2
Havoc
Current key players
Iowa StateQBConnor Moberly
20 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.4234/729
RBAiden Flora
594 yds · 6 TD · 8.1 YPC
91.04/1044
CBBeni Ngoyi
7 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.7
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 90
- Passer rating allowed
- 62.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
82.540/2969
CBDavid Coffey
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.9
- Coverage
- 80.9
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 51
- Passer rating allowed
- 59.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.866/2969
LBTristan Exline
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 63.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.590/1796
SDrew Surges
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.5
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 50
- Passer rating allowed
- 101.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
74.8202/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Carter Pabst · WRout · 2026-10-03
Pabst is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Jordyn Bailey · WRout · 2026-09-01
Bailey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear when he will return.
- Dominic Overby · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Overby is dealing with an Knee injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Caden Crawford · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Crawford is hampered due to an undisclosed injury , and it is unclear if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Jaheim Singletary · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Singletary is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rylan Barnes · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Barnes is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Easton Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Miller is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, but he is expected to suit up against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Luke Galer · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Galer is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Wildcats on Saturday, October 24th.
BYUQBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 66.6
- Run blocking
- 78.4
- Penalties
- 0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 74.7
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 77
- Passer rating allowed
- 102.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.5
- Coverage
- 75.7
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
- LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07
Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20
Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07
Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10
Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October
- Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10
Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1
- Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ISUIowa State
BYUBYU
vs
Offense
63.4
#124 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.4
#42 of 138
81.6
#25 of 138
RB
Running backs
87.2
#6 of 138
72.0
#63 of 138
WR
Receivers
73.0
#47 of 138
59.6
#124 of 138
TE
Tight ends
80.9
#22 of 138
70.2
#51 of 138
OL
Offensive line
80.6
#3 of 138
Defense
78.3
#22 of 138
DL
Defensive line
76.1
#46 of 138
73.3
#77 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.5
#64 of 138
76.8
#19 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.6
#62 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Iowa State
opponent
BYU
Aaway-7.1
ARIZArizona#25+11.0Hhome
Aaway-1.2
BAYBaylor#41+9.8Hhome
Aaway+0.8
UCFUCF#48+6.5Aaway
Hhome+5.3
CINCincinnati#59+10.9Hhome
Hhome-14.0
UTAHUtah#9-9.0Aaway