CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Fri Nov 13 · 10:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HOU 73.7%26.3% COLO
Projected margin
HOU by 10.0
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
HOU 29 to COLO 9
Win probability
HOU 73.7%

Current team profiles

Houston
Colorado

When Houston has the ball

Passing

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#6
COLO defense
#79
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.17
#79
Pass EPA

Rushing

COLO defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#21
COLO defense
#12
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.14
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#2
COLO defense
#37
Success rates
55%
#2
37%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#5
-0.02
#34
EPA / play
1.09
#127
1.20
#57
Explosiveness
10%
#7
21%
#13
Havoc

When Colorado has the ball

Passing

HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#93
COLO offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#33
COLO offense
#132
EPA comparison
-0.05
#33
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#55
COLO offense
#107
Success rates
39%
#55
40%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
-0.01
#125
EPA / play
1.32
#111
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
20%
#19
17%
#106
Havoc

Current key players

Houston
QBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.0
Coverage
72.3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
83.4
Penalties
0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
78.7
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
158
Passer rating allowed
74.5
Missed tackles
3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th

  • Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

Colorado
QBIsaac Wilson
443 yds · 2 TD · 3 INT
60.1271/729
DBJah Jah Boyd
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
85.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
1
88.913/2969
RBTitus Bautista
7 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
83.745/1044
LBCarson Crawford
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
71.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
4
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
77.0141/1796
WRJoseph Williams
32 rec · 454 yds · 5 TD
76.993/2069
DBRJ Johnson
4 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.2153/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Zach Atkins · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Atkins is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Danny Scudero · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Scudero is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Makari Vickers · CBout · 2026-10-02

    Vickers is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and is not expected to face the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Quentin Gibson · WRQues. · 2026-10-01

    Gibson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Red-raiders on Saturday.

  • Charlie Williams · TEQues. · 2026-10-01

    Williams is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • Damian Henderson II · RBprobable · 2026-10-01

    Henderson II is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against Red Raiders on Saturday.

  • DeAndre Moore Jr. · WRprobable · 2026-10-02

    Moore Jr is managing with an undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Red Raiders on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

HOU
COLO
vs
Offense
90.4
#19 of 138
QB
60.1
#132 of 138
87.3
#4 of 138
RB
81.9
#24 of 138
77.3
#22 of 138
WR
71.8
#64 of 138
88.6
#5 of 138
TE
56.5
#135 of 138
76.2
#12 of 138
OL
71.2
#43 of 138
Defense
80.3
#15 of 138
DL
77.4
#31 of 138
77.6
#40 of 138
LB
74.1
#69 of 138
72.8
#58 of 138
DB
75.0
#34 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Houston
opponent
Colorado
A+19.0
KSU#37
-9.2H
A-2.0
TTU#10
-22.0H
H+6.4
CIN#59
-11.6A
H+13.1
OKST#52
-4.8A
H+10.0
UCF#48
-5.4H
H+5.2
BAY#41
-10.0A
A-13.6
UTAH#9
-20.9H