CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
HOU 58.8%41.2% WVU
Projected margin
HOU by 3.4
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
HOU 22 to WVU 15
Win probability
HOU 58.8%

Current team profiles

Houston
West Virginia

When Houston has the ball

Passing

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#6
WVU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#21
WVU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

HOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU offense
#2
WVU defense
#122
Success rates
55%
#2
46%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.36
#5
0.20
#120
EPA / play
1.09
#127
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
10%
#7
16%
#74
Havoc

When West Virginia has the ball

Passing

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#93
WVU offense
#82
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.17
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#33
WVU offense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.05
#33
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

HOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
HOU defense
#55
WVU offense
#73
Success rates
39%
#55
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.14
#71
EPA / play
1.32
#111
1.30
#32
Explosiveness
20%
#19
13%
#35
Havoc

Current key players

Houston
QBLuke Carney
— yds · — TD · — INT
90.420/729
WRJack Newhouse
— rec · — yds · — TD
92.44/2069
LBChristian Brathwaite
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.0
Coverage
72.3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.17/1796
RBJohn Hebert
65 yds · 1 TD · 13.0 YPC
88.715/1044
TEWyatt Herbel
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
83.4
Penalties
0
88.65/1017
DBJalen Mayo
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.2
Coverage
78.7
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
158
Passer rating allowed
74.5
Missed tackles
3
83.832/2969
Availability reports · 6
  • John Hebert · RBout · 2026-10-05

    Hebert is laid up with a lower leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Muizz Tounkara · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Tounkara is nursing with a foot injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Jacory Thurman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Thurman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jeffrey Strozier Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Strozier is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th

  • Evan Noel · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Noel is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • JayShon Ridgle · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ridgle is dealing with undisclosed injury, it is unclear if he will play against the Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

West Virginia
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
68
Passer rating allowed
95.9
Missed tackles
6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.

  • John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

HOU
WVU
vs
Offense
90.4
#19 of 138
QB
90.0
#24 of 138
87.3
#4 of 138
RB
75.6
#67 of 138
77.3
#22 of 138
WR
79.6
#12 of 138
88.6
#5 of 138
TE
63.9
#98 of 138
76.2
#12 of 138
OL
66.6
#81 of 138
Defense
80.3
#15 of 138
DL
67.5
#129 of 138
77.6
#40 of 138
LB
72.5
#83 of 138
72.8
#58 of 138
DB
74.7
#38 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Houston
opponent
West Virginia
H+13.1
OKST#52
-17.0H
A-2.0
TTU#10
-22.5A
H+6.4
CIN#59
+0.3H
A-13.6
UTAH#9
-19.6A