Passing
No comparison
- NORF offense
- —
- UVA defense
- #20
EPA comparison
—
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Fri Sep 11 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NORF 0.1%99.9% UVA
- Projected margin
- UVA by 52.5
- Projected total
- 67
- 80% outcome range
- UVA 33 to UVA 70
- Win probability
- UVA 99.9%
FinalNORF 3 · UVA 59model had +52.5, off by 3.5
Current team profiles
Norfolk State
VirginiaWhen Norfolk State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- NORF offense
- —
- UVA defense
- #84
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NORF offense
- #51
- UVA defense
- #41
Success rates
44%
#51
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#43
-0.01
#38
EPA / play
0.22
#29
1.11
#25
Explosiveness
—
17%
#42
Havoc
When Virginia has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- NORF defense
- —
- UVA offense
- #45
EPA comparison
—
0.29
#45
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- NORF defense
- —
- UVA offense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- NORF defense
- #42
- UVA offense
- #62
Success rates
43%
#42
44%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#19
0.18
#55
EPA / play
0.20
#42
1.17
#98
Explosiveness
—
13%
#42
Havoc
Current key players
Norfolk StateQBDa'Jean Golmond
683 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
79.246/370
DLQuintin Goins
16 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 74
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.16/1549
LBRontravious Perry
28 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.3
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.544/1054
WRShamar Vick
61 rush yds · 1 TD · 6 car
79.231/1229
DLAaron McDaniel
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.755/1549
KMarco Peery
8/10 FG · 0%
77.218/416
VirginiaQBEli Holstein
180 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
85.440/729
LBJustin Rowe
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.8
- Coverage
- 94.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
94.13/1796
SKeke Adams
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.5
- Coverage
- 91.7
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.16/2969
TELukas Ungar
2 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 64.0
- Run blocking
- 58.8
- Penalties
- 0
86.010/1017
CBOmillio Agard
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.3
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 10
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 19
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.4111/2969
DBPatrick Campbell
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.0
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.8241/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Jason Hammond · DLout · 2026-09-15
Jason is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Rico Flores Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Flores left previous game due to a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Peyton Lewis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Lewis is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Triston Ward · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Ward is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dillon Newton-Short · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Newton-Short is managing a hamstring injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jack Stevens · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tim Hamann · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Hamann is sidelined by a undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NORFNorfolk State
UVAVirginia
vs
Offense
79.2
#39 of 125
QB
Quarterback
85.4
#37 of 138
67.6
#93 of 126
RB
Running backs
69.8
#122 of 138
72.9
#24 of 126
WR
Receivers
69.4
#89 of 138
63.5
#68 of 124
TE
Tight ends
86.0
#10 of 138
65.4
#52 of 125
OL
Offensive line
81.1
#2 of 138
Defense
77.8
#11 of 126
DL
Defensive line
77.6
#29 of 138
75.1
#29 of 126
LB
Linebackers
78.8
#31 of 138
68.4
#102 of 126
DB
Secondary
76.8
#17 of 138