AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Fri Sep 11 · 11:00 PM
Away
Norfolk State
—
15p
#49Home
Virginia
1-0 · AVR 55.7
44p
NORF 2%98% UVA
Spread
UVA -29.8
Total
59
Moneyline
NORF—UVA—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Virginia
CBJam Jackson
86.433/1427
LBKam Robinsonquestionable
83.530/878
SEthan Minter
79.199/1427
DBDonavon Platt
77.8118/1427
QBBeau Pribula
72.532/308
RBJekail Middlebrook
70.650/514

also out — Alex Dunn, Bull Richardson (DL), Chase Morrison (DL), Dillon Newton-Short (WR), Ezekiel Larry (DL), Grant Ellinger (OL), Isaiah Reese (LB), Isaiah Robinson (WR) +8 more

Projected margin

80% between 13 and 47
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKUVA +29.895% interval: 6.8 to 52.880% interval: 13.1 to 46.5+13+47NORF wins 2%UVA wins 98%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ UVA 42–14 NORFUVA 39–39 NORF neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUVA 42–35 NORF neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUVA 46–32 NORF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUVA 49–28 NORF neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesUVA 53–25 NORF neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesUVA 56–21 NORF neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUVA 60–18 NORF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUVA 63–14 NORF neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesUVA 67–11 NORF neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesUVA 35–35 NORF neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUVA 39–32 NORF neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesUVA 42–28 NORF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUVA 46–25 NORF neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesUVA 49–21 NORF neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesUVA 53–18 NORF neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesUVA 56–14 NORF neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesUVA 60–11 NORF neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUVA 63–7 NORF neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesUVA 32–32 NORF neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesUVA 35–28 NORF neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesUVA 39–25 NORF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesUVA 42–21 NORF neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesUVA 46–18 NORF neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesUVA 49–14 NORF neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesUVA 53–11 NORF neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUVA 56–7 NORF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUVA 60–4 NORF neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesUVA 28–28 NORF neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesUVA 32–25 NORF neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesUVA 35–21 NORF neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUVA 39–18 NORF neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesUVA 42–14 NORF neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesUVA 46–11 NORF neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesUVA 49–7 NORF neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUVA 53–4 NORF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUVA 56–0 NORF neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUVA 25–25 NORF neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesUVA 28–21 NORF neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesUVA 32–18 NORF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUVA 35–14 NORF neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesUVA 39–11 NORF neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesUVA 42–7 NORF neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesUVA 46–4 NORF neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesUVA 49–0 NORF neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)UVA 21–21 NORF neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesUVA 25–18 NORF neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesUVA 28–14 NORF neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUVA 32–11 NORF neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesUVA 35–7 NORF neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesUVA 39–4 NORF neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesUVA 42–0 NORF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)UVA 18–18 NORF neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesUVA 21–14 NORF neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesUVA 25–11 NORF neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesUVA 28–7 NORF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUVA 32–4 NORF neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesUVA 35–0 NORF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKUVA +14UVA +28UVA +42UVA +56margin →