CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SYR 28.4%71.6% UVA
Projected margin
UVA by 9.0
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
SYR 10 to UVA 30
Win probability
UVA 71.6%
FinalSYR 25 · UVA 28model had +9.0, off by 6.0

Current team profiles

Syracuse
Virginia

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

UVA defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#81
UVA defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.18
#81
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#72
UVA defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.07
#84
Rush EPA

Drive success

UVA defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#88
UVA defense
#41
Success rates
42%
#88
37%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#94
-0.01
#38
EPA / play
1.33
#22
1.11
#25
Explosiveness
13%
#39
17%
#42
Havoc

When Virginia has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#7
UVA offense
#45
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.29
#45
Pass EPA

Rushing

UVA offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#91
UVA offense
#63
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

UVA offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#65
UVA offense
#62
Success rates
40%
#65
44%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.18
#55
EPA / play
1.18
#47
1.17
#98
Explosiveness
18%
#38
13%
#42
Havoc

Current key players

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

Virginia
QBEli Holstein
180 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
85.440/729
LBJustin Rowe
6 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.8
Coverage
94.4
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
94.13/1796
SKeke Adams
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.5
Coverage
91.7
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
1
91.16/2969
TELukas Ungar
2 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
64.0
Run blocking
58.8
Penalties
0
86.010/1017
CBOmillio Agard
10 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.3
Coverage
79.2
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
77.4111/2969
DBPatrick Campbell
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.8241/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Jason Hammond · DLout · 2026-09-15

    Jason is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Rico Flores Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Flores left previous game due to a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Peyton Lewis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lewis is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Triston Ward · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ward is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dillon Newton-Short · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Newton-Short is managing a hamstring injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jack Stevens · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stevens is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tim Hamann · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hamann is sidelined by a undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will face against Mustangs on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SYR
UVA
vs
Offense
76.0
#78 of 138
QB
85.4
#37 of 138
75.7
#66 of 138
RB
69.8
#122 of 138
72.2
#57 of 138
WR
69.4
#89 of 138
70.6
#62 of 138
TE
86.0
#10 of 138
66.3
#87 of 138
OL
81.1
#2 of 138
Defense
75.2
#53 of 138
DL
77.6
#29 of 138
79.7
#23 of 138
LB
78.8
#31 of 138
67.3
#123 of 138
DB
76.8
#17 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Syracuse
opponent
Virginia
A-9.4
NCSU#63
+26.0H
H-3.0
CAL#90
+13.2H
A-6.4
UNC#60
+8.6H
H-14.5
SMU#39
-10.1A