CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LOU 70.3%29.7% SYR
Projected margin
LOU by 8.3
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
LOU 27 to SYR 10
Win probability
LOU 70.3%

Current team profiles

Louisville
Syracuse

When Louisville has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU offense
#15
SYR defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU offense
#17
SYR defense
#91
EPA comparison
0.25
#17
0.09
#91
Rush EPA

Drive success

LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU offense
#18
SYR defense
#65
Success rates
50%
#18
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.34
#6
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.39
#9
1.18
#47
Explosiveness
15%
#84
18%
#38
Havoc

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU defense
#116
SYR offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.18
#81
Pass EPA

Rushing

LOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU defense
#47
SYR offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

LOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU defense
#74
SYR offense
#88
Success rates
41%
#74
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
0.09
#94
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.33
#22
Explosiveness
14%
#104
13%
#39
Havoc

Current key players

Louisville
QBLincoln Kienholz
1394 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
83.951/729
LBTrent Carter
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Coverage
72.8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.013/1796
RBBraxton Jennings
31 yds · 1 TD · 7.8 YPC
86.326/1044
WRTre Richardson
28 rec · 445 yds · 2 TD
80.258/2069
LBJacob Smith
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.0
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1117/1796
DBBrycen Scott
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.5
Coverage
72.1
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
92
Passer rating allowed
76.4
Missed tackles
0
74.6204/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • Antonio Watts · CBout · 2026-09-25

    Watts has been out of commission due to a knee injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kris Hughes · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Huges has been out of commission due to lower body injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Keyjuan Brown · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brown is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Hamilton Atkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Atkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Elizjah Lewis · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Anwar O'Neal · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    O'Neal is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Montavin Quisenberry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Quisenberry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Cook · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LOU
SYR
vs
Offense
83.9
#45 of 138
QB
76.0
#78 of 138
82.9
#21 of 138
RB
75.7
#66 of 138
74.4
#38 of 138
WR
72.2
#57 of 138
71.7
#52 of 138
TE
70.6
#62 of 138
63.9
#104 of 138
OL
66.3
#87 of 138
Defense
83.8
#4 of 138
DL
75.2
#53 of 138
79.3
#24 of 138
LB
79.7
#23 of 138
70.7
#87 of 138
DB
67.3
#123 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Louisville
opponent
Syracuse
H+10.0
SMU#39
-14.5H
H+1.5
PITT#30
-14.0A
A+4.5
UNC#60
-6.4A
A-3.0
NCSU#63
-9.4A