CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
SYR 34.0%66.0% UNC
Projected margin
UNC by 6.4
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
SYR 12 to UNC 25
Win probability
UNC 66.0%

Current team profiles

Syracuse
North Carolina

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

UNC defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#81
UNC defense
#32
EPA comparison
0.18
#81
0.03
#32
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#72
UNC defense
#88
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.08
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#88
UNC defense
#100
Success rates
42%
#88
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#94
0.01
#47
EPA / play
1.33
#22
0.99
#4
Explosiveness
13%
#39
13%
#119
Havoc

When North Carolina has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#7
UNC offense
#78
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.19
#78
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#91
UNC offense
#93
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.04
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

UNC offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#65
UNC offense
#64
Success rates
40%
#65
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.10
#91
EPA / play
1.18
#47
1.13
#117
Explosiveness
18%
#38
16%
#104
Havoc

Current key players

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

North Carolina
QBMiles O'Neill
22 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
71.8141/729
DBGreg Smith
21 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.1
Coverage
89.6
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
9
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
3
86.619/2969
DBJalon Thompson
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
80.259/2969
WRZamaurious Robertson
1 rec · 4 yds · 0 TD
78.270/2069
DBAde Willie
1 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
78.6
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
78.095/2969
WRJordan Shipp
20 rec · 273 yds · 0 TD
77.877/2069
Availability reports · 5
  • Jaxxon Warren · TEout · 2026-08-21

    Warren is managing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Jordan Washington · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Jaylen Harvey · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Duke on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carnell Warren · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Carnell is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Duke on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Keeyun Chapman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Chapman is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face against Duke on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SYR
UNC
vs
Offense
76.0
#78 of 138
QB
71.8
#96 of 138
75.7
#66 of 138
RB
67.5
#131 of 138
72.2
#57 of 138
WR
72.0
#62 of 138
70.6
#62 of 138
TE
77.2
#33 of 138
66.3
#87 of 138
OL
66.5
#84 of 138
Defense
75.2
#53 of 138
DL
74.8
#55 of 138
79.7
#23 of 138
LB
71.9
#89 of 138
67.3
#123 of 138
DB
77.4
#12 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Syracuse
opponent
North Carolina
A-14.0
PITT#30
+4.0A
H-25.7
ND#1
-11.0H
A-9.4
NCSU#63
-0.3H
A-3.0
UVA#50
-8.6A
H-8.3
LOU#27
-4.5H
H-6.8
CLEM#57
-8.0A
A+1.0
CONN#95
+0.8A