Passing
STAN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- STAN offense
- #88
- LOU defense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.33
#116
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
STAN 15.1%84.9% LOU
- Projected margin
- LOU by 15.7
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- STAN 3 to LOU 34
- Win probability
- LOU 84.9%
Current team profiles
Stanford
LouisvilleWhen Stanford has the ball
Rushing
LOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- STAN offense
- #126
- LOU defense
- #47
EPA comparison
-0.08
#126
0.00
#47
Rush EPA
Drive success
LOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- STAN offense
- #126
- LOU defense
- #74
Success rates
37%
#126
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#111
0.12
#93
EPA / play
1.20
#91
1.25
#86
Explosiveness
14%
#60
14%
#104
Havoc
When Louisville has the ball
Passing
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- STAN defense
- #136
- LOU offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.47
#136
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- STAN defense
- #138
- LOU offense
- #17
EPA comparison
0.32
#138
0.25
#17
Rush EPA
Drive success
LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- STAN defense
- #133
- LOU offense
- #18
Success rates
50%
#133
50%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.37
#138
0.34
#6
EPA / play
1.35
#117
1.39
#9
Explosiveness
11%
#131
15%
#84
Havoc
Current key players
StanfordQBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.0
- Coverage
- 70.9
- Pressures
- 9
- Pass-rush snaps
- 61
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.2
- Coverage
- 74.5
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 57
- Passer rating allowed
- 52.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
- Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
- London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.
LouisvilleQBLincoln Kienholz
1394 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
83.951/729
LBTrent Carter
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 84.2
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.013/1796
RBBraxton Jennings
31 yds · 1 TD · 7.8 YPC
86.326/1044
WRTre Richardson
28 rec · 445 yds · 2 TD
80.258/2069
LBJacob Smith
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.0
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.1117/1796
DBBrycen Scott
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.5
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 92
- Passer rating allowed
- 76.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.6204/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Antonio Watts · CBout · 2026-09-25
Watts has been out of commission due to a knee injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Kris Hughes · WRout · 2026-08-11
Huges has been out of commission due to lower body injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Keyjuan Brown · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Brown is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Hamilton Atkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Atkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Elizjah Lewis · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anwar O'Neal · OGQues. · 2026-10-10
O'Neal is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Montavin Quisenberry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Quisenberry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
- Payton Cook · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
STANStanford
LOULouisville
vs
Offense
70.0
#100 of 138
QB
Quarterback
83.9
#45 of 138
73.3
#92 of 138
RB
Running backs
82.9
#21 of 138
72.2
#56 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.4
#38 of 138
57.5
#133 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.7
#52 of 138
67.0
#79 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.9
#104 of 138
Defense
65.3
#134 of 138
DL
Defensive line
83.8
#4 of 138
68.4
#119 of 138
LB
Linebackers
79.3
#24 of 138
68.3
#116 of 138
DB
Secondary
70.7
#87 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Stanford
opponent
Louisville
Aaway-54.0
WAKEWake Forest#26-3.0Hhome
Hhome-16.7
SMUSMU#39+10.0Hhome
Hhome+7.0
GTGeorgia Tech#66+3.6Aaway
Hhome-6.2
NCSUNC State#63-3.0Aaway