CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
#27Away
Louisville
3-3 · AVR 68.4
31p
#66Home
Georgia Tech
2-3 · AVR 60.1
27p
Forecast win probability
LOU 59.1%40.9% GT
Projected margin
LOU by 3.6
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
LOU 22 to GT 15
Win probability
LOU 59.1%

Current team profiles

Louisville
Georgia Tech

When Louisville has the ball

Passing

LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU offense
#15
GT defense
#116
EPA comparison
0.45
#15
0.33
#116
Pass EPA

Rushing

LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU offense
#17
GT defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.25
#17
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

LOU offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU offense
#18
GT defense
#83
Success rates
50%
#18
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.34
#6
0.18
#114
EPA / play
1.39
#9
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
15%
#84
15%
#88
Havoc

When Georgia Tech has the ball

Passing

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU defense
#116
GT offense
#66
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

LOU defense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU defense
#47
GT offense
#63
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
LOU defense
#74
GT offense
#59
Success rates
41%
#74
45%
#59
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
0.17
#62
EPA / play
1.25
#86
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
14%
#104
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Louisville
QBLincoln Kienholz
1394 yds · 9 TD · 1 INT
83.951/729
LBTrent Carter
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Coverage
72.8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.013/1796
RBBraxton Jennings
31 yds · 1 TD · 7.8 YPC
86.326/1044
WRTre Richardson
28 rec · 445 yds · 2 TD
80.258/2069
LBJacob Smith
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.0
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1117/1796
DBBrycen Scott
13 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.5
Coverage
72.1
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
92
Passer rating allowed
76.4
Missed tackles
0
74.6204/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • Antonio Watts · CBout · 2026-09-25

    Watts has been out of commission due to a knee injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kris Hughes · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Huges has been out of commission due to lower body injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Keyjuan Brown · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Brown is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Hamilton Atkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Atkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Elizjah Lewis · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Anwar O'Neal · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    O'Neal is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Montavin Quisenberry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Quisenberry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Cook · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Cook is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Orange on Saturday, October 17th.

Georgia Tech
QBAlberto Mendoza
975 yds · 6 TD · 3 INT
78.188/729
LBC.J. Gamble
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.3
Coverage
96.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
94.41/1796
RBJustice Haynes
393 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.667/1044
LBKyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
64.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.0182/1796
STae Harris
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
60.0
Missed tackles
5
72.9280/2969
TEKevin Roche Jr.
18 rec · 200 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.9
Run blocking
53.4
Penalties
0
72.761/1017
Availability reports · 8
  • Malachi Hosley · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Richardson is battling with a Undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Jordan Walker · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaiven Plummer · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • A.J. Hoffler · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoffler is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shymeik Jones · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ethan Mackenny · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    MacKenny is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Coi Jean-Noel · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jean-Noel has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Darnell Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LOU
GT
vs
Offense
83.9
#45 of 138
QB
78.1
#68 of 138
82.9
#21 of 138
RB
76.3
#62 of 138
74.4
#38 of 138
WR
67.0
#119 of 138
71.7
#52 of 138
TE
72.7
#47 of 138
63.9
#104 of 138
OL
59.5
#134 of 138
Defense
83.8
#4 of 138
DL
73.8
#64 of 138
79.3
#24 of 138
LB
80.2
#20 of 138
70.7
#87 of 138
DB
69.1
#109 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Louisville
opponent
Georgia Tech
H+15.7
STAN#106
-7.0A
H+1.5
PITT#30
-10.1A
H-3.0
WAKE#26
-6.0H