AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 8:00 PM
Away
South Dakota State
—
9p
#37Home
Northwestern
0-0 · AVR 59.3
38p
SDST 3%98% NU
Spread
NU -28.5
Total
47
Moneyline
SDST—NU—
Against the market
NU +16.0line NU -12.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Northwestern
LBKobie McKinzie
82.934/878
WRGriffin Wilde
81.219/777
RBCaleb Komolafe
77.033/514
DBBrenden Deasfernandes
73.9166/1427
DBBraden Turner
72.0190/1427
LBBraydon Brus
68.6166/878

Projected margin

80% between 10 and 46
-14-7+7+14PKNU +28.5MKT95% interval: 1 to 5680% interval: 10 to 46+10+46SDST wins 3%NU wins 98%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ NU 39–11 SDSTNU 35–35 SDST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNU 39–32 SDST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesNU 42–28 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 46–25 SDST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNU 49–21 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 53–18 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 56–14 SDST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNU 60–11 SDST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesNU 63–7 SDST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNU 32–32 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 35–28 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 39–25 SDST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNU 42–21 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 46–18 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 49–14 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 53–11 SDST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNU 56–7 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 60–4 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 28–28 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 32–25 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 35–21 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 39–18 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 42–14 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 46–11 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 49–7 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 53–4 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 56–0 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 25–25 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 28–21 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 32–18 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 35–14 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 39–11 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 42–7 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 46–4 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 49–0 SDST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)NU 21–21 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 25–18 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 28–14 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 32–11 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 35–7 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 39–4 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 42–0 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)NU 18–18 SDST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNU 21–14 SDST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNU 25–11 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 28–7 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 32–4 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNU 35–0 SDST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)NU 14–14 SDST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNU 18–11 SDST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesNU 21–7 SDST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNU 25–4 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNU 28–0 SDST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalPKNU +14NU +28NU +42NU +56margin →