CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
#12Away
USC
3-0 · AVR 74.9
42
Final
#96Home
Rutgers
0-2 · AVR 54.7
35
Forecast win probability
USC 83.1%16.9% RUTG
Projected margin
USC by 14.7
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
USC 35 to RUTG 5
Win probability
USC 83.1%
FinalUSC 42 · RUTG 35model had -14.7, off by 7.7

Current team profiles

USC
Rutgers

When USC has the ball

Passing

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#6
RUTG defense
#128
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.38
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#81
RUTG defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.19
#122
Rush EPA

Drive success

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#8
RUTG defense
#124
Success rates
52%
#8
46%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
0.23
#127
EPA / play
1.21
#85
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
10%
#9
12%
#125
Havoc

When Rutgers has the ball

Passing

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#126
RUTG offense
#41
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

USC defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#56
RUTG offense
#121
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
-0.03
#121
Rush EPA

Drive success

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#77
RUTG offense
#56
Success rates
41%
#77
45%
#56
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#103
0.11
#86
EPA / play
1.32
#110
1.34
#18
Explosiveness
12%
#124
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

USC
QBJayden Maiava
1744 yds · 15 TD · 3 INT
90.321/729
WRTrent Mosley
13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD
89.87/2069
RBKing Miller
493 yds · 3 TD · 5.2 YPC
77.9114/1044
WRCorey Simms
12 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
77.283/2069
TEMark Bowman
21 rec · 204 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.4
Run blocking
52.7
Penalties
1
74.549/1017
CBElbert Hill IV
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
70.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
79
Passer rating allowed
115.3
Missed tackles
1
70.9389/2969
Availability reports · 9
  • Corey Simms · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Simms is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Terrell Anderson · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Anderson has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and a timetable for return/recovery has yet to be established.

  • Kilian O'Connor · OGout · 2026-08-11

    O'Connor has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Deshonne Redeaux · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Redeaux is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Mark Bowman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bowman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kendarius Reddick · SQues. · 2026-10-11

    Reddick is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Roderick Tezeno · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tezeno is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Romero Ison · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ison is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Sam Huard · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Huard is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

Rutgers
QBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.6
Run blocking
77.5
Penalties
0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
89.6
Missed tackles
2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.7
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17

    Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.

  • Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04

    Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.

  • Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11

    Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.

  • Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USC
RUTG
vs
Offense
90.3
#20 of 138
QB
65.6
#118 of 138
77.6
#51 of 138
RB
72.3
#104 of 138
81.0
#7 of 138
WR
71.5
#69 of 138
74.5
#39 of 138
TE
90.2
#2 of 138
77.8
#6 of 138
OL
75.6
#14 of 138
Defense
77.9
#25 of 138
DL
71.5
#91 of 138
67.7
#122 of 138
LB
65.5
#133 of 138
68.1
#117 of 138
DB
69.5
#105 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

USC
opponent
Rutgers
A+8.0
PSU#43
-19.5A
A-8.1
IU#5
-32.0H
H+19.6
MD#72
-3.7A
A+9.8
WIS#32
-8.1A