Passing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #9
- IU defense
- #20
EPA comparison
0.52
#9
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Fri Sep 25 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NU 14.6%85.4% IU
- Projected margin
- IU by 15.1
- Projected total
- 47
- 80% outcome range
- NU 3 to IU 35
- Win probability
- IU 85.4%
FinalNU 23 · IU 29model had +15.1, off by 9.1
Current team profiles
Northwestern
IndianaWhen Northwestern has the ball
Rushing
IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #21
- IU defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #21
- IU defense
- #4
Success rates
49%
#21
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.33
#8
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.31
#29
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
15%
#69
19%
#24
Havoc
When Indiana has the ball
Passing
IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #55
- IU offense
- #2
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.65
#2
Pass EPA
Rushing
IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #73
- IU offense
- #17
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.25
#17
Rush EPA
Drive success
IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #104
- IU offense
- #24
Success rates
43%
#104
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#69
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.11
#26
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
17%
#49
11%
#18
Havoc
Current key players
NorthwesternQBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 35.0
- Run blocking
- 60.8
- Penalties
- 1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.
- Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,
- Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
IndianaQBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.6
- Coverage
- 63.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 66.5
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
- Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12
Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NUNorthwestern
IUIndiana
vs
Offense
73.8
#87 of 138
QB
Quarterback
86.4
#31 of 138
80.3
#34 of 138
RB
Running backs
85.2
#10 of 138
66.2
#126 of 138
WR
Receivers
83.7
#2 of 138
85.0
#11 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.0
#127 of 138
65.8
#89 of 138
OL
Offensive line
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
68.7
#118 of 138
DL
Defensive line
81.7
#8 of 138
68.7
#115 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.9
#44 of 138
71.6
#75 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Northwestern
opponent
Indiana
Hhome+15.7
RUTGRutgers#89+32.0Aaway
Aaway+8.5
MINNMinnesota#54+24.1Hhome
Aaway-17.5
OSUOhio State#2-1.9Hhome