CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
RUTG 15.4%84.6% NU
Projected margin
NU by 15.7
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
RUTG 3 to NU 34
Win probability
NU 84.6%

Current team profiles

Rutgers
Northwestern

When Rutgers has the ball

Passing

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#41
NU defense
#55
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#121
NU defense
#73
EPA comparison
-0.03
#121
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#56
NU defense
#104
Success rates
45%
#56
43%
#104
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#86
0.06
#69
EPA / play
1.34
#18
1.11
#26
Explosiveness
15%
#79
17%
#49
Havoc

When Northwestern has the ball

Passing

NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#128
NU offense
#9
EPA comparison
0.38
#128
0.52
#9
Pass EPA

Rushing

NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#122
NU offense
#21
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#124
NU offense
#21
Success rates
46%
#124
49%
#21
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#127
0.33
#8
EPA / play
1.24
#78
1.31
#29
Explosiveness
12%
#125
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

Rutgers
QBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.6
Run blocking
77.5
Penalties
0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
89.6
Missed tackles
2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.7
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17

    Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.

  • Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04

    Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.

  • Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11

    Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.

  • Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.

Northwestern
QBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
35.0
Run blocking
60.8
Penalties
1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.0
Coverage
78.9
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
100
Passer rating allowed
73.5
Missed tackles
1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.6
Coverage
74.4
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
9
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10

    Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.

  • Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10

    McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.

  • Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,

  • Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

RUTG
NU
vs
Offense
65.6
#118 of 138
QB
73.8
#87 of 138
72.3
#104 of 138
RB
80.3
#34 of 138
71.5
#69 of 138
WR
66.2
#126 of 138
90.2
#2 of 138
TE
85.0
#11 of 138
75.6
#14 of 138
OL
65.8
#89 of 138
Defense
71.5
#91 of 138
DL
68.7
#118 of 138
65.5
#133 of 138
LB
68.7
#115 of 138
69.5
#105 of 138
DB
71.6
#75 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Rutgers
opponent
Northwestern
A-19.5
PSU#43
+21.0H
H-32.0
IU#5
-6.0A
H+1.2
MSU#62
+8.9A