CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
USC 30.1%69.9% IU
Projected margin
IU by 8.1
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
USC 11 to IU 27
Win probability
IU 69.9%

Current team profiles

USC
Indiana

When USC has the ball

Passing

USC offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#6
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#81
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#8
IU defense
#4
Success rates
52%
#8
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.21
#85
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
10%
#9
19%
#24
Havoc

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#126
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.65
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#56
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.25
#17
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#77
IU offense
#24
Success rates
41%
#77
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#103
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.32
#110
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
12%
#124
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

USC
QBJayden Maiava
1744 yds · 15 TD · 3 INT
90.321/729
WRTrent Mosley
13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD
89.87/2069
RBKing Miller
493 yds · 3 TD · 5.2 YPC
77.9114/1044
WRCorey Simms
12 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
77.283/2069
TEMark Bowman
21 rec · 204 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.4
Run blocking
52.7
Penalties
1
74.549/1017
CBElbert Hill IV
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
70.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
79
Passer rating allowed
115.3
Missed tackles
1
70.9389/2969
Availability reports · 9
  • Corey Simms · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Simms is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Terrell Anderson · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Anderson has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and a timetable for return/recovery has yet to be established.

  • Kilian O'Connor · OGout · 2026-08-11

    O'Connor has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Deshonne Redeaux · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Redeaux is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Mark Bowman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bowman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kendarius Reddick · SQues. · 2026-10-11

    Reddick is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Roderick Tezeno · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tezeno is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Romero Ison · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ison is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Sam Huard · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Huard is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USC
IU
vs
Offense
90.3
#20 of 138
QB
86.4
#31 of 138
77.6
#51 of 138
RB
85.2
#10 of 138
81.0
#7 of 138
WR
83.7
#2 of 138
74.5
#39 of 138
TE
59.0
#127 of 138
77.8
#6 of 138
OL
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
77.9
#25 of 138
DL
81.7
#8 of 138
67.7
#122 of 138
LB
76.9
#44 of 138
68.1
#117 of 138
DB
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

USC
opponent
Indiana
A+7.0
RUTG#89
+32.0A
H-7.3
OSU#2
-1.9H
H+4.0
WASH#45
+8.1A