Passing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #9
- MINN defense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.52
#9
0.06
#38
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
NU 70.6%29.4% MINN
- Projected margin
- NU by 8.5
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- NU 27 to MINN 10
- Win probability
- NU 70.6%
Current team profiles
Northwestern
MinnesotaWhen Northwestern has the ball
Rushing
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #21
- MINN defense
- #107
EPA comparison
0.23
#21
0.14
#107
Rush EPA
Drive success
NU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU offense
- #21
- MINN defense
- #58
Success rates
49%
#21
39%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.33
#8
0.04
#57
EPA / play
1.31
#29
1.18
#50
Explosiveness
15%
#69
22%
#6
Havoc
When Minnesota has the ball
Passing
NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #55
- MINN offense
- #76
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.20
#76
Pass EPA
Rushing
NU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #73
- MINN offense
- #123
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA
Drive success
MINN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NU defense
- #104
- MINN offense
- #76
Success rates
43%
#104
43%
#76
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#69
0.05
#106
EPA / play
1.11
#26
1.12
#121
Explosiveness
17%
#49
14%
#63
Havoc
Current key players
NorthwesternQBAidan Chiles
900 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
73.8122/729
RBJoseph Himon II
277 yds · 3 TD · 13.8 YPC
86.625/1044
TELuke Dehnicke
11 rec · 208 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 35.0
- Run blocking
- 60.8
- Penalties
- 1
85.011/1017
DBBraden Turner
15 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 100
- Passer rating allowed
- 73.5
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.389/2969
WRGriffin Wilde
16 rec · 281 yds · 2 TD
74.2140/2069
DBRobert Fitzgerald
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.6
- Coverage
- 74.4
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 9
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 9
74.0227/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Josh Fussell · CBout · 2026-10-10
Fussell is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Tom McGlinchey · TEout · 2026-10-10
McGlinchey is sidelined with an undisclosed injury and there is no timetable for return.
- Luke Dehnicke · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Dehnicke is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Braden Turner · CBQues. · 2026-10-10
Turner is bothered by a Undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Chase Farrell · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Farrell has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will be available against the MI State on Saturday,
- Chris Petrucci · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Petrucci has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jaden McDuffie · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McDuffie is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be active against the MI State on Saturday, October 17th.
MinnesotaQBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 87.2
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 53.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 26.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 39.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01
Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher
- Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07
Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NUNorthwestern
MINNMinnesota
vs
Offense
73.8
#87 of 138
QB
Quarterback
72.5
#93 of 138
80.3
#34 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.5
#78 of 138
66.2
#126 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.7
#35 of 138
85.0
#11 of 138
TE
Tight ends
57.3
#134 of 138
65.8
#89 of 138
OL
Offensive line
76.0
#13 of 138
Defense
68.7
#118 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.1
#35 of 138
68.7
#115 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.0
#43 of 138
71.6
#75 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.7
#37 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Northwestern
opponent
Minnesota
Hhome+21.0
PSUPenn State#43-17.6Aaway
Aaway-6.0
IUIndiana#5-24.1Aaway
Hhome+2.3
IOWAIowa#20-8.8Hhome