Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #31
- USU defense
- #60
EPA comparison
0.37
#31
0.11
#60
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 9:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FRES 58.1%41.9% USU
- Projected margin
- FRES by 2.9
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- FRES 22 to USU 16
- Win probability
- FRES 58.1%
Current team profiles
Fresno State
Utah StateWhen Fresno State has the ball
Rushing
USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #113
- USU defense
- #40
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
-0.02
#40
Rush EPA
Drive success
USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #108
- USU defense
- #60
Success rates
39%
#108
39%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#72
0.05
#59
EPA / play
1.35
#17
1.18
#46
Explosiveness
13%
#31
14%
#101
Havoc
When Utah State has the ball
Passing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #49
- USU offense
- #133
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
-0.10
#133
Pass EPA
Rushing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #56
- USU offense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
-0.05
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #83
- USU offense
- #131
Success rates
42%
#83
35%
#131
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#51
-0.08
#132
EPA / play
1.17
#43
1.39
#8
Explosiveness
15%
#93
19%
#130
Havoc
Current key players
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
Utah StateQBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 88.8
- Coverage
- 74.0
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 38
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.2
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 12
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 140
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.5
- Missed tackles
- 10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.2
- Coverage
- 53.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 99
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.3
- Coverage
- 71.6
- Targets allowed
- 30
- Rec allowed
- 17
- Yards allowed
- 226
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.9
- Missed tackles
- 2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
- J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01
Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07
Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
- McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FRESFresno State
USUUtah State
vs
Offense
69.6
#102 of 138
QB
Quarterback
49.1
#138 of 138
77.3
#52 of 138
RB
Running backs
68.3
#127 of 138
79.1
#13 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.2
#118 of 138
64.3
#95 of 138
TE
Tight ends
59.9
#123 of 138
59.1
#136 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.6
#119 of 138
Defense
72.0
#87 of 138
DL
Defensive line
68.5
#120 of 138
72.3
#85 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.3
#50 of 138
75.5
#28 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.5
#104 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Fresno State
opponent
Utah State
Aaway+20.0
WSUWashington State#101+1.0Hhome
Hhome-7.0
BOISBoise State#29-19.0Aaway
Hhome+9.1
ORSTOregon State#44-1.8Aaway
Aaway+0.9
TXSTTexas State#55-4.7Aaway
Hhome+12.3
CSUColorado State#118+6.7Hhome
Aaway-2.0
SDSUSan Diego State#104-7.6Aaway