Passing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU offense
- #55
- FRES defense
- #49
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.08
#49
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CSU 20.9%79.1% FRES
- Projected margin
- FRES by 12.3
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- CSU 6 to FRES 31
- Win probability
- FRES 79.1%
Current team profiles
Colorado StateFresno StateWhen Colorado State has the ball
Rushing
CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU offense
- #9
- FRES defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU offense
- #53
- FRES defense
- #83
Success rates
45%
#53
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#30
0.02
#51
EPA / play
1.43
#4
1.17
#43
Explosiveness
16%
#94
15%
#93
Havoc
When Fresno State has the ball
Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU defense
- #129
- FRES offense
- #31
EPA comparison
0.43
#129
0.37
#31
Pass EPA
Rushing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU defense
- #130
- FRES offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.22
#130
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CSU defense
- #138
- FRES offense
- #108
Success rates
52%
#138
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#126
0.14
#72
EPA / play
1.15
#31
1.35
#17
Explosiveness
16%
#77
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
Colorado StateQBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.5
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.8
- Missed tackles
- 0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02
Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.
- Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02
Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.
- Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07
Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CSUColorado State
FRESFresno State
vs
Offense
78.7
#64 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.6
#102 of 138
78.3
#45 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.3
#52 of 138
68.9
#95 of 138
WR
Receivers
79.1
#13 of 138
60.8
#113 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.3
#95 of 138
67.6
#71 of 138
OL
Offensive line
59.1
#136 of 138
Defense
68.6
#119 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.0
#87 of 138
69.1
#111 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.3
#85 of 138
66.2
#132 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.5
#28 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Colorado State
opponent
Fresno State
Hhome-30.0
ORSTOregon State#44+9.1Hhome
Aaway-6.9
WSUWashington State#101+20.0Aaway
Aaway-8.7
TXSTTexas State#55+0.9Aaway
Aaway-6.7
USUUtah State#97+2.9Aaway
Hhome-13.8
BOISBoise State#29-7.0Hhome
Hhome-6.3
SDSUSan Diego State#104-2.0Aaway