Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #31
- WSU defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.37
#31
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 9:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FRES 53.1%46.9% WSU
- Projected margin
- FRES by 0.6
- Projected total
- 44
- 80% outcome range
- FRES 21 to WSU 20
- Win probability
- FRES 53.1%
FinalFRES 26 · WSU 6model had -0.6, off by 19.4
Current team profiles
Fresno State
Washington StateWhen Fresno State has the ball
Rushing
WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #113
- WSU defense
- #52
EPA comparison
-0.01
#113
0.01
#52
Rush EPA
Drive success
WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES offense
- #108
- WSU defense
- #55
Success rates
39%
#108
39%
#55
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#72
0.01
#45
EPA / play
1.35
#17
1.24
#77
Explosiveness
13%
#31
14%
#107
Havoc
When Washington State has the ball
Passing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #49
- WSU offense
- #134
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
-0.12
#134
Pass EPA
Rushing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #56
- WSU offense
- #123
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA
Drive success
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- FRES defense
- #83
- WSU offense
- #137
Success rates
42%
#83
33%
#137
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#51
-0.11
#133
EPA / play
1.17
#43
1.22
#81
Explosiveness
15%
#93
20%
#135
Havoc
Current key players
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
Washington StateQBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 5
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.7
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
- Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14
Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.
- Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23
Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc
Position units
Position-unit comparison
FRESFresno State
WSUWashington State
vs
Offense
69.6
#102 of 138
QB
Quarterback
62.5
#127 of 138
77.3
#52 of 138
RB
Running backs
68.2
#128 of 138
79.1
#13 of 138
WR
Receivers
68.0
#109 of 138
64.3
#95 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.9
#97 of 138
59.1
#136 of 138
OL
Offensive line
60.9
#129 of 138
Defense
72.0
#87 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.1
#70 of 138
72.3
#85 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.9
#72 of 138
75.5
#28 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.8
#119 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Fresno State
opponent
Washington State
Hhome+9.1
ORSTOregon State#44-1.6Aaway
Aaway-2.0
SDSUSan Diego State#104-7.4Aaway
Hhome+12.3
CSUColorado State#118+6.9Hhome
Aaway+0.9
TXSTTexas State#55-4.4Aaway
Aaway+2.9
USUUtah State#97-1.0Aaway
Hhome-7.0
BOISBoise State#29-9.6Hhome