Passing
ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORST offense
- #11
- FRES defense
- #49
EPA comparison
0.50
#11
0.08
#49
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ORST 27.9%72.1% FRES
- Projected margin
- FRES by 9.1
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- ORST 9 to FRES 28
- Win probability
- FRES 72.1%
Current team profiles
Oregon State
Fresno StateWhen Oregon State has the ball
Rushing
FRES defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORST offense
- #81
- FRES defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORST offense
- #11
- FRES defense
- #83
Success rates
51%
#11
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#10
0.02
#51
EPA / play
1.26
#45
1.17
#43
Explosiveness
11%
#21
15%
#93
Havoc
When Fresno State has the ball
Passing
FRES offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORST defense
- #49
- FRES offense
- #31
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
0.37
#31
Pass EPA
Rushing
ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORST defense
- #52
- FRES offense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA
Drive success
ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ORST defense
- #71
- FRES offense
- #108
Success rates
40%
#71
39%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#55
0.14
#72
EPA / play
1.08
#18
1.35
#17
Explosiveness
17%
#45
13%
#31
Havoc
Current key players
Oregon StateQBBraden Atkinson
1827 yds · 16 TD · 2 INT
84.947/729
WRJesse Legree
28 rec · 741 yds · 9 TD
89.68/2069
TELandon Cook
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 59.9
- Penalties
- 0
80.723/1017
LBTakari Hickle
27 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.6
- Coverage
- 60.5
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 116
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.2135/1796
LBKord Shaw
20 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.9
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 6
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3174/1796
RBAJ Newberry
271 yds · 2 TD · 6.0 YPC
73.9195/1044
Fresno StateQBJayden Mandal
1034 yds · 6 TD · 1 INT
69.6157/729
WRJaylen Garrison
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
87.913/2069
DBSimeon Harris
24 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.2
- Coverage
- 89.7
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 94
- Passer rating allowed
- 28.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.715/2969
RBRayshon Luke
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.8 YPC
83.447/1044
LBJustin Johnson
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.7
- Coverage
- 78.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
82.659/1796
WRJosiah Freeman
25 rec · 322 yds · 2 TD
76.992/2069
Availability reports · 3
- Brandon Ramirez · RBout · 2026-08-11
Ramirez is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Rayshon Luke · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Luke is dealing with a concussion injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
- Harold Duvall · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Duvall is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the State Aztecs on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ORSTOregon State
FRESFresno State
vs
Offense
84.9
#41 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.6
#102 of 138
70.9
#113 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.3
#52 of 138
72.0
#60 of 138
WR
Receivers
79.1
#13 of 138
80.7
#23 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.3
#95 of 138
72.6
#30 of 138
OL
Offensive line
59.1
#136 of 138
Defense
65.1
#136 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.0
#87 of 138
75.6
#56 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.3
#85 of 138
66.9
#126 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.5
#28 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Oregon State
opponent
Fresno State
Hhome+52.0
SDSUSan Diego State#104-2.0Aaway
Hhome+1.6
WSUWashington State#101+20.0Aaway
Aaway+30.0
CSUColorado State#118+12.3Hhome
Aaway-16.0
BOISBoise State#29-7.0Hhome
Hhome-0.2
TXSTTexas State#55+0.9Aaway
Hhome+1.8
USUUtah State#97+2.9Aaway