Passing
No comparison
- ILST offense
- —
- NIU defense
- #89
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#89
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ILST 29.4%70.6% NIU
- Projected margin
- NIU by 9.1
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- ILST 10 to NIU 30
- Win probability
- NIU 70.6%
FinalILST 28 · NIU 24model had +9.1, off by 13.1
Current team profiles
Illinois State
Northern IllinoisWhen Illinois State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- ILST offense
- —
- NIU defense
- #131
EPA comparison
—
0.23
#131
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- ILST offense
- #54
- NIU defense
- #131
Success rates
44%
#54
49%
#131
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#54
0.20
#121
EPA / play
0.22
#35
1.20
#54
Explosiveness
—
10%
#136
Havoc
When Northern Illinois has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- ILST defense
- —
- NIU offense
- #123
EPA comparison
—
0.00
#123
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- ILST defense
- —
- NIU offense
- #137
EPA comparison
—
-0.13
#137
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- ILST defense
- #80
- NIU offense
- #125
Success rates
45%
#80
37%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#69
-0.12
#135
EPA / play
0.19
#34
1.14
#110
Explosiveness
—
17%
#112
Havoc
Current key players
Illinois StateQBChase Kwiatkowski
49 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
84.620/370
OLJacob Finley
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 81.5
- Run blocking
- 86.8
- Penalties
- 0
89.91/1368
LBTye Niekamp
39 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.6
- Coverage
- 75.8
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 49
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.146/1054
DBKey Crowell
18 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.7
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 130
- Passer rating allowed
- 108.3
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.571/1765
QBGage Roy
777 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
78.051/370
LBDexter Niekamp
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.1
- Coverage
- 72.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 105
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.958/1054
Northern IllinoisQBBrady Davidson
27 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.3166/729
DBAaron Warren
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.5
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
82.839/2969
LBJashawn Nelson
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.195/1796
RBJaidaun Cranford
59 yds · 0 TD · 7.4 YPC
74.6185/1044
CBYassine Falke
13 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.1
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 30.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.7404/2969
WRDeAree Rogers
31 rec · 252 yds · 2 TD
69.9273/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Glen Weber · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Weber is battling with an undisclosed injury, and his status is unknown against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Da'sean Howard · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Howard is suffering with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ILSTIllinois State
NIUNorthern Illinois
vs
Offense
84.6
#19 of 125
QB
Quarterback
69.3
#104 of 138
74.2
#46 of 126
RB
Running backs
72.5
#103 of 138
71.0
#40 of 126
WR
Receivers
67.4
#117 of 138
66.3
#55 of 124
TE
Tight ends
65.0
#90 of 138
77.6
#1 of 125
OL
Offensive line
64.8
#97 of 138
Defense
68.7
#89 of 126
DL
Defensive line
64.5
#137 of 138
76.4
#18 of 126
LB
Linebackers
69.3
#109 of 138
75.4
#19 of 126
DB
Secondary
69.9
#100 of 138