Passing
No comparison
- CCSU offense
- —
- TOL defense
- #79
EPA comparison
—
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CCSU 0.4%99.6% TOL
- Projected margin
- TOL by 39.0
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- TOL 16 to TOL 62
- Win probability
- TOL 99.6%
FinalCCSU 10 · TOL 63model had +39.0, off by 14.0
Current team profiles
Central Connecticut
ToledoWhen Central Connecticut has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- CCSU offense
- —
- TOL defense
- #34
EPA comparison
—
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- CCSU offense
- #23
- TOL defense
- #10
Success rates
47%
#23
34%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#32
0.01
#43
EPA / play
0.22
#35
1.32
#109
Explosiveness
—
14%
#97
Havoc
When Toledo has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- CCSU defense
- —
- TOL offense
- #38
EPA comparison
—
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- CCSU defense
- —
- TOL offense
- #55
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- CCSU defense
- #106
- TOL offense
- #81
Success rates
47%
#106
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#121
0.23
#36
EPA / play
0.24
#115
1.44
#3
Explosiveness
—
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
ToledoQBKhamoni Robinson
21 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
87.830/729
WRAdjatay Dabbs
25 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
84.125/2069
RBAutavius Ison
175 yds · 1 TD · 4.5 YPC
82.554/1044
CBIsrael Petite
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 80.5
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 121
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.7
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.953/2969
LBJulian Fox
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.7
- Coverage
- 82.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.872/1796
SNicholas Thompson
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- -6
- Passer rating allowed
- 116.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
75.7169/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gilbert is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Trenton Jones · WRout · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tucker Kelleher · TEout · 2026-10-10
Kelleher is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CCSUCentral Connecticut
TOLToledo
vs
Offense
not rated
QB
Quarterback
87.8
#28 of 138
not rated
RB
Running backs
81.3
#26 of 138
not rated
WR
Receivers
75.2
#33 of 138
not rated
TE
Tight ends
68.5
#77 of 138
not rated
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#59 of 138
Defense
not rated
DL
Defensive line
74.4
#60 of 138
not rated
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#53 of 138
not rated
DB
Secondary
74.6
#40 of 138