AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:30 PM
Away
Central Connecticut
—
16p
#73Home
Toledo
0-0 · AVR 47.9
40p
CCSU 5%95% TOL
Spread
TOL -23.8
Total
55
Moneyline
CCSU+2074TOL-2074
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Toledo
CBHyajah Miller
79.695/1427
LBSam Smith Jr.
79.065/878
SDylan Hohler
78.6105/1427
LBLangston Long
70.2142/878
STyler Hackenbracht
69.7246/1427
TESam Lee
52.4113/287

Projected margin

80% between 7 and 41
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKTOL +23.895% interval: 0.8 to 46.780% interval: 7 to 40.5+7+41CCSU wins 5%TOL wins 95%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ TOL 39–18 CCSUTOL 35–42 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesTOL 39–39 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesTOL 42–35 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesTOL 46–32 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesTOL 49–28 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTOL 53–25 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesTOL 56–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesTOL 60–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesTOL 63–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTOL 32–39 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTOL 35–35 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTOL 39–32 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesTOL 42–28 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTOL 46–25 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTOL 49–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesTOL 53–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesTOL 56–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesTOL 60–11 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTOL 28–35 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTOL 32–32 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesTOL 35–28 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesTOL 39–25 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesTOL 42–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesTOL 46–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesTOL 49–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesTOL 53–11 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesTOL 56–7 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTOL 25–32 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTOL 28–28 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesTOL 32–25 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesTOL 35–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTOL 39–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesTOL 42–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesTOL 46–11 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesTOL 49–7 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesTOL 53–4 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTOL 21–28 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTOL 25–25 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesTOL 28–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesTOL 32–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesTOL 35–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesTOL 39–11 CCSU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesTOL 42–7 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesTOL 46–4 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesTOL 49–0 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTOL 18–25 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTOL 21–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTOL 25–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesTOL 28–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTOL 32–11 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesTOL 35–7 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTOL 39–4 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTOL 42–0 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)TOL 14–21 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesTOL 18–18 CCSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTOL 21–14 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesTOL 25–11 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesTOL 28–7 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTOL 32–4 CCSU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTOL 35–0 CCSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalCCSU +7TOL +7TOL +21TOL +35TOL +49margin →