AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 PM
Away
Robert Morris
—
20p
#116Home
Buffalo
0-0 · AVR 33.9
34p
RMU 16%84% BUF
Spread
BUF -13.9
Total
55
Moneyline
RMU+518BUF-518
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Buffalo
LBSaVeon Brown
78.179/878
SMiles Greer
76.3135/1427
CBKobi Blackwell
73.2174/1427
SXavier Leonard
66.6320/1427
CBOliver Bridges
57.6542/1427
CBMikey Crawford
55.6602/1427

Projected margin

80% between -3 and 31
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKBUF +13.995% interval: -9 to 36.980% interval: -2.8 to 30.7-3+31RMU wins 16%BUF wins 84%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ BUF 35–21 RMUBUF 32–46 RMU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesBUF 35–42 RMU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesBUF 39–39 RMU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBUF 42–35 RMU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesBUF 46–32 RMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBUF 49–28 RMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBUF 53–25 RMU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBUF 56–21 RMU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesBUF 60–18 RMU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesBUF 28–42 RMU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBUF 32–39 RMU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesBUF 35–35 RMU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBUF 39–32 RMU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesBUF 42–28 RMU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesBUF 46–25 RMU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesBUF 49–21 RMU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBUF 53–18 RMU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesBUF 56–14 RMU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBUF 25–39 RMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBUF 28–35 RMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesBUF 32–32 RMU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesBUF 35–28 RMU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesBUF 39–25 RMU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesBUF 42–21 RMU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesBUF 46–18 RMU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesBUF 49–14 RMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesBUF 53–11 RMU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBUF 21–35 RMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBUF 25–32 RMU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesBUF 28–28 RMU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesBUF 32–25 RMU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesBUF 35–21 RMU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesBUF 39–18 RMU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesBUF 42–14 RMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBUF 46–11 RMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesBUF 49–7 RMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBUF 18–32 RMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBUF 21–28 RMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesBUF 25–25 RMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBUF 28–21 RMU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesBUF 32–18 RMU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesBUF 35–14 RMU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesBUF 39–11 RMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBUF 42–7 RMU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesBUF 46–4 RMU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBUF 14–28 RMU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBUF 18–25 RMU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesBUF 21–21 RMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBUF 25–18 RMU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesBUF 28–14 RMU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesBUF 32–11 RMU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesBUF 35–7 RMU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBUF 39–4 RMU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesBUF 42–0 RMU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBUF 11–25 RMU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesBUF 14–21 RMU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesBUF 18–18 RMU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBUF 21–14 RMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBUF 25–11 RMU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesBUF 28–7 RMU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBUF 32–4 RMU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBUF 35–0 RMU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalRMU +14PKBUF +14BUF +28BUF +42margin →