Passing
No comparison
- RMU offense
- —
- BUF defense
- #96
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#96
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
RMU 10.5%89.5% BUF
- Projected margin
- BUF by 21.4
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- RMU 1 to BUF 43
- Win probability
- BUF 89.5%
FinalRMU 28 · BUF 31model had +21.4, off by 18.4
Current team profiles
Robert Morris
BuffaloWhen Robert Morris has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- RMU offense
- —
- BUF defense
- #56
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- RMU offense
- #99
- BUF defense
- #48
Success rates
41%
#99
38%
#48
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#58
0.11
#91
EPA / play
0.20
#79
1.29
#98
Explosiveness
—
15%
#81
Havoc
When Buffalo has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- RMU defense
- —
- BUF offense
- #118
EPA comparison
—
0.05
#118
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- RMU defense
- —
- BUF offense
- #105
EPA comparison
—
0.02
#105
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- RMU defense
- #6
- BUF offense
- #130
Success rates
38%
#6
35%
#130
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#16
0.03
#114
EPA / play
0.18
#20
1.19
#93
Explosiveness
—
16%
#94
Havoc
Current key players
Robert MorrisDBTahseen Howard
17 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 82.5
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 105
- Passer rating allowed
- 82.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
84.513/1765
WRGalen Combs
15 rec · 307 yds · 5 TD
84.08/1229
WRAiden Henry
1 rec · 17 yds · 0 TD
82.016/1229
LBJake Lopinto
46 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.6
- Coverage
- 68.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.931/1054
DBMekhi Kilburn
12 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 68.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.639/1765
DBRonnie Woods
18 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.7
- Coverage
- 79.2
- Targets allowed
- 20
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 88
- Passer rating allowed
- 49.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.156/1765
BuffaloQBElijah Holmes
253 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
78.980/729
TEMichael Gelatko
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 64.6
- Run blocking
- 59.6
- Penalties
- 0
88.66/1017
LBZach Bergmann
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.886/1796
WRChance Morrow
32 rec · 400 yds · 6 TD
77.087/2069
RBMessiah Burch
352 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0151/1044
LBStevie Bracey
19 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 58.4
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9217/1796
Availability reports · 9
- Elijah Holmes · QBout · 2026-10-06
Holmes is battling with a knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Jasaiah Gathings · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gathings is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Bobby Mays · WRout · 2026-10-10
Mays is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Terrell Richards · WRout · 2026-10-10
Richards is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- James McNeil Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
McNeil Jr is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Terrance Shelton Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Shelton Jr. is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Alvin Jones III · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Sholder · KQues. · 2026-10-10
Sholder is nursing a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeremiah Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
RMURobert Morris
BUFBuffalo
vs
Offense
67.2
#82 of 125
QB
Quarterback
78.9
#62 of 138
62.8
#117 of 126
RB
Running backs
74.5
#76 of 138
76.6
#6 of 126
WR
Receivers
65.1
#129 of 138
63.6
#67 of 124
TE
Tight ends
88.6
#6 of 138
63.3
#76 of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.5
#110 of 138
Defense
66.9
#102 of 126
DL
Defensive line
76.3
#43 of 138
78.6
#13 of 126
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#54 of 138
78.7
#3 of 126
DB
Secondary
64.7
#135 of 138