Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #36
- BUF defense
- #96
EPA comparison
0.35
#36
0.24
#96
Pass EPA
- Projected margin
- BUF by 10.2
- Projected total
- 52
- 80% outcome range
- MASS 8 to BUF 29
- Win probability
- BUF 74.1%
Current team profiles
Massachusetts
BuffaloWhen Massachusetts has the ball
Rushing
BUF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #61
- BUF defense
- #56
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
0.02
#56
Rush EPA
Drive success
BUF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #66
- BUF defense
- #48
Success rates
44%
#66
38%
#48
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#45
0.11
#91
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.29
#98
Explosiveness
12%
#27
15%
#81
Havoc
When Buffalo has the ball
Passing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #52
- BUF offense
- #118
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.05
#118
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #27
- BUF offense
- #105
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
0.02
#105
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #57
- BUF offense
- #130
Success rates
39%
#57
35%
#130
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#31
0.03
#114
EPA / play
1.10
#21
1.19
#93
Explosiveness
15%
#89
16%
#94
Havoc
Current key players
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
BuffaloQBElijah Holmes
253 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
78.980/729
TEMichael Gelatko
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 64.6
- Run blocking
- 59.6
- Penalties
- 0
88.66/1017
LBZach Bergmann
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.886/1796
WRChance Morrow
32 rec · 400 yds · 6 TD
77.087/2069
RBMessiah Burch
352 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0151/1044
LBStevie Bracey
19 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 58.4
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9217/1796
Availability reports · 9
- Elijah Holmes · QBout · 2026-10-06
Holmes is battling with a knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Jasaiah Gathings · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gathings is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Bobby Mays · WRout · 2026-10-10
Mays is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Terrell Richards · WRout · 2026-10-10
Richards is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- James McNeil Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
McNeil Jr is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Terrance Shelton Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Shelton Jr. is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Alvin Jones III · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Sholder · KQues. · 2026-10-10
Sholder is nursing a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeremiah Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MASSMassachusetts
BUFBuffalo
vs
Offense
85.1
#39 of 138
QB
Quarterback
78.9
#62 of 138
81.3
#29 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.5
#76 of 138
73.6
#45 of 138
WR
Receivers
65.1
#129 of 138
66.0
#86 of 138
TE
Tight ends
88.6
#6 of 138
63.7
#107 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.5
#110 of 138
Defense
77.1
#34 of 138
DL
Defensive line
76.3
#43 of 138
77.4
#41 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#54 of 138
72.8
#59 of 138
DB
Secondary
64.7
#135 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Massachusetts
opponent
Buffalo
Aaway-25.2
TOLToledo#80+15.0Aaway
Aaway-10.1
BGSUBowling Green#144+2.8Hhome
Hhome-1.0
M-OHMiami (OH)#115-8.7Aaway
Hhome-2.1
BALLBall State#164+0.2Aaway
Hhome-1.3
AKRAkron#140+1.0Aaway