CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TOL 75.2%24.8% EMU
Projected margin
TOL by 10.8
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
TOL 29 to EMU 8
Win probability
TOL 75.2%

Current team profiles

Toledo
Eastern Michigan

When Toledo has the ball

Passing

TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
TOL offense
#38
EMU defense
#103
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
TOL offense
#55
EMU defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
TOL offense
#81
EMU defense
#91
Success rates
43%
#81
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#36
0.13
#100
EPA / play
1.44
#3
1.23
#75
Explosiveness
14%
#45
18%
#39
Havoc

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
TOL defense
#79
EMU offense
#84
EPA comparison
0.17
#79
0.16
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
TOL defense
#34
EMU offense
#81
EPA comparison
-0.04
#34
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
TOL defense
#10
EMU offense
#98
Success rates
34%
#10
41%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#43
0.06
#102
EPA / play
1.32
#109
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
14%
#97
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

Toledo
QBKhamoni Robinson
21 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
87.830/729
WRAdjatay Dabbs
25 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
84.125/2069
RBAutavius Ison
175 yds · 1 TD · 4.5 YPC
82.554/1044
CBIsrael Petite
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.7
Coverage
80.5
Targets allowed
23
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
121
Passer rating allowed
74.7
Missed tackles
2
80.953/2969
LBJulian Fox
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.7
Coverage
82.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
80.872/1796
SNicholas Thompson
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
72.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
-6
Passer rating allowed
116.7
Missed tackles
1
75.7169/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Gilbert is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Trenton Jones · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Jones is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Tucker Kelleher · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Kelleher is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TOL
EMU
vs
Offense
87.8
#28 of 138
QB
59.7
#133 of 138
81.3
#26 of 138
RB
76.0
#65 of 138
75.2
#33 of 138
WR
67.4
#116 of 138
68.5
#77 of 138
TE
63.7
#99 of 138
69.2
#59 of 138
OL
62.8
#115 of 138
Defense
74.4
#60 of 138
DL
76.8
#38 of 138
75.7
#53 of 138
LB
62.8
#137 of 138
74.6
#40 of 138
DB
77.5
#11 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Toledo
opponent
Eastern Michigan
H+10.7
WMU#79
-8.1A
A-10.0
MSU#62
-28.0A
A+7.7
OHIO#107
-5.8A
A+19.3
SAC#187
+11.0H
H+25.2
MASS#134
+24.0A