Passing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU offense
- #92
- TOL defense
- #79
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
WMU 24.4%75.6% TOL
- Projected margin
- TOL by 10.7
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- WMU 8 to TOL 29
- Win probability
- TOL 75.6%
Current team profiles
Western MichiganToledoWhen Western Michigan has the ball
Rushing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU offense
- #51
- TOL defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU offense
- #85
- TOL defense
- #10
Success rates
42%
#85
34%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#73
0.01
#43
EPA / play
1.15
#108
1.32
#109
Explosiveness
13%
#42
14%
#97
Havoc
When Toledo has the ball
Passing
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU defense
- #65
- TOL offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU defense
- #47
- TOL offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WMU defense
- #105
- TOL offense
- #81
Success rates
44%
#105
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.23
#36
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.44
#3
Explosiveness
13%
#109
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
Western MichiganQBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.8
- Coverage
- 78.1
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.1
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 63.6
- Run blocking
- 68.3
- Penalties
- 0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
- Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.
ToledoQBKhamoni Robinson
21 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
87.830/729
WRAdjatay Dabbs
25 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
84.125/2069
RBAutavius Ison
175 yds · 1 TD · 4.5 YPC
82.554/1044
CBIsrael Petite
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 80.5
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 121
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.7
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.953/2969
LBJulian Fox
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.7
- Coverage
- 82.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.872/1796
SNicholas Thompson
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- -6
- Passer rating allowed
- 116.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
75.7169/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gilbert is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Trenton Jones · WRout · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tucker Kelleher · TEout · 2026-10-10
Kelleher is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WMUWestern Michigan
TOLToledo
vs
Offense
90.8
#15 of 138
QB
Quarterback
87.8
#28 of 138
68.5
#126 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#26 of 138
69.5
#88 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.2
#33 of 138
75.5
#36 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.5
#77 of 138
60.3
#131 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#59 of 138
Defense
77.6
#28 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.4
#60 of 138
78.8
#28 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#53 of 138
68.9
#112 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.6
#40 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Western Michigan
opponent
Toledo
Aaway+3.0
BUFBuffalo#149-15.0Hhome
Hhome+9.7
BGSUBowling Green#144+17.8Hhome
Hhome+8.1
EMUEastern Michigan#131+10.8Aaway