Passing
BUF offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BUF offense
- #118
- M-OH defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.05
#118
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Tue Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BUF 29.2%70.8% M-OH
- Projected margin
- M-OH by 8.7
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- BUF 10 to M-OH 27
- Win probability
- M-OH 70.8%
Current team profiles
Buffalo
Miami (OH)When Buffalo has the ball
Rushing
M-OH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BUF offense
- #105
- M-OH defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.02
#105
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
M-OH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BUF offense
- #130
- M-OH defense
- #108
Success rates
35%
#130
44%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#114
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.19
#93
1.29
#98
Explosiveness
16%
#94
13%
#123
Havoc
When Miami (OH) has the ball
Passing
M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BUF defense
- #96
- M-OH offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.24
#96
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
BUF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BUF defense
- #56
- M-OH offense
- #81
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.08
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
BUF defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BUF defense
- #48
- M-OH offense
- #101
Success rates
38%
#48
40%
#101
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#91
0.17
#65
EPA / play
1.29
#98
1.39
#9
Explosiveness
15%
#81
15%
#84
Havoc
Current key players
BuffaloQBElijah Holmes
253 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
78.980/729
TEMichael Gelatko
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 64.6
- Run blocking
- 59.6
- Penalties
- 0
88.66/1017
LBZach Bergmann
23 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.2
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.886/1796
WRChance Morrow
32 rec · 400 yds · 6 TD
77.087/2069
RBMessiah Burch
352 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.0151/1044
LBStevie Bracey
19 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.5
- Coverage
- 58.4
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.9217/1796
Availability reports · 9
- Elijah Holmes · QBout · 2026-10-06
Holmes is battling with a knee injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Jasaiah Gathings · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gathings is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Bobby Mays · WRout · 2026-10-10
Mays is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Terrell Richards · WRout · 2026-10-10
Richards is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- James McNeil Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
McNeil Jr is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Terrance Shelton Jr. · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Shelton Jr. is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Alvin Jones III · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Blake Sholder · KQues. · 2026-10-10
Sholder is nursing a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
- Jeremiah Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against UMASS on Saturday, October 17th.
Miami (OH)QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 59.8
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 122
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
- David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10
McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24
Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05
Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05
Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10
Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BUFBuffalo
M-OHMiami (OH)
vs
Offense
78.9
#62 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.2
#43 of 138
74.5
#76 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.0
#119 of 138
65.1
#129 of 138
WR
Receivers
78.2
#16 of 138
88.6
#6 of 138
TE
Tight ends
65.9
#88 of 138
63.5
#110 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.8
#37 of 138
Defense
76.3
#43 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.8
#109 of 138
75.7
#54 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.1
#96 of 138
64.7
#135 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.5
#121 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Buffalo
opponent
Miami (OH)
Aaway+1.0
AKRAkron#140+12.3Hhome
Hhome+10.2
MASSMassachusetts#134+1.0Aaway
Hhome+2.8
BGSUBowling Green#144-4.0Hhome
Hhome-1.6
CMUCentral Michigan#138-0.9Aaway
Hhome-3.0
WMUWestern Michigan#79-3.6Aaway