Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #36
- TOL defense
- #79
EPA comparison
0.35
#36
0.17
#79
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Wed Nov 11 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MASS 5.4%94.6% TOL
- Projected margin
- TOL by 25.2
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- TOL 7 to TOL 44
- Win probability
- TOL 94.6%
Current team profiles
Massachusetts
ToledoWhen Massachusetts has the ball
Rushing
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #61
- TOL defense
- #34
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
-0.04
#34
Rush EPA
Drive success
TOL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #66
- TOL defense
- #10
Success rates
44%
#66
34%
#10
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#45
0.01
#43
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.32
#109
Explosiveness
12%
#27
14%
#97
Havoc
When Toledo has the ball
Passing
TOL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #52
- TOL offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #27
- TOL offense
- #55
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
0.14
#55
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #57
- TOL offense
- #81
Success rates
39%
#57
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#31
0.23
#36
EPA / play
1.10
#21
1.44
#3
Explosiveness
15%
#89
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
ToledoQBKhamoni Robinson
21 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
87.830/729
WRAdjatay Dabbs
25 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
84.125/2069
RBAutavius Ison
175 yds · 1 TD · 4.5 YPC
82.554/1044
CBIsrael Petite
23 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.7
- Coverage
- 80.5
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 121
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.7
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.953/2969
LBJulian Fox
36 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.7
- Coverage
- 82.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.872/1796
SNicholas Thompson
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 72.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- -6
- Passer rating allowed
- 116.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
75.7169/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WRout · 2026-10-10
Gilbert is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Trenton Jones · WRout · 2026-10-10
Jones is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Tucker Kelleher · TEout · 2026-10-10
Kelleher is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MASSMassachusetts
TOLToledo
vs
Offense
85.1
#39 of 138
QB
Quarterback
87.8
#28 of 138
81.3
#29 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#26 of 138
73.6
#45 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.2
#33 of 138
66.0
#86 of 138
TE
Tight ends
68.5
#77 of 138
63.7
#107 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#59 of 138
Defense
77.1
#34 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.4
#60 of 138
77.4
#41 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#53 of 138
72.8
#59 of 138
DB
Secondary
74.6
#40 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Massachusetts
opponent
Toledo
Hhome-24.0
EMUEastern Michigan#131+10.8Aaway
Aaway-10.1
BGSUBowling Green#144+17.8Hhome
Hhome-2.1
BALLBall State#164+15.0Aaway
Aaway+29.0
SACSacramento State#187+19.3Aaway
Aaway-10.2
BUFBuffalo#149-15.0Hhome