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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 7:00 PM ET
#78
Away
Montana State
5-1
· AVR 58.1
38
38
p
at
#154
Home
Eastern Washington
2-5
· AVR 44.3
20
20
p
Forecast win probability
MTST 86.2%
13.8% EWU
Projected margin
MTST by 17.9
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
MTST 39 to EWU 3
Win probability
MTST 86.2%
Current team profiles
Montana State
Eastern Washington
When Montana State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
MTST offense
#1
EWU defense
#84
Success rates
54%
#1
46%
#84
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#5
0.17
#91
EPA / play
0.25
#4
0.22
#90
Explosiveness
When Eastern Washington has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
MTST defense
#77
EWU offense
#51
Success rates
45%
#77
44%
#51
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#35
0.09
#71
EPA / play
0.20
#63
0.20
#62
Explosiveness
Current key players
Montana State
WR
Carter Dahlke
23 rec · 371 yds · 3 TD
92.5
1/1229
DB
Kayden Steptoe
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Coverage
83.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
85.7
10/1765
DL
Zac Crews
24 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Pressures
23
Pass-rush snaps
146
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
82.7
22/1549
DB
Caden Dowler
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.2
Coverage
66.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
14
Passer rating allowed
118.8
Missed tackles
0
81.7
31/1765
OL
Braden Zimmer
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.7
Run blocking
79.3
Penalties
2
80.6
10/1368
WR
Dane Steel
25 rec · 430 yds · 5 TD
78.9
33/1229
Eastern Washington
QB
Nate Bell
1597 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
79.5
43/370
K
Soren McKee
10/12 FG · 0%
77.9
13/416
DB
Dre Greeley
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
75.3
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
76.1
107/1765
DB
Ambrose Marsh
28 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
78.6
Targets allowed
25
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
176
Passer rating allowed
94.3
Missed tackles
1
76.0
110/1765
DB
Bryce Smith
49 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.6
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
52
Passer rating allowed
21.8
Missed tackles
6
75.9
113/1765
DB
Seanje Finister
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
72.1
272/1765
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MTST
Montana State
EWU
Eastern Washington
vs
Offense
72.7
#59
of 125
QB
Quarterback
79.5
#36
of 125
75.7
#34
of 126
RB
Running backs
69.2
#81
of 126
80.0
#2
of 126
WR
Receivers
69.7
#58
of 126
74.6
#20
of 124
TE
Tight ends
65.1
#62
of 124
71.9
#15
of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.9
#68
of 125
Defense
75.6
#22
of 126
DL
Defensive line
67.5
#99
of 126
71.6
#59
of 126
LB
Linebackers
67.5
#105
of 126
78.7
#2
of 126
DB
Secondary
73.9
#32
of 126
Common opponents