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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 7:00 PM ET
#201
Away
Central Arkansas
2-4
· AVR 37.2
17
17
p
at
#128
Home
Tarleton State
6-0
· AVR 49.3
42
42
p
Forecast win probability
CARK 6.3%
93.7% TAR
Projected margin
TAR by 25.2
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
TAR 4 to TAR 46
Win probability
TAR 93.7%
Current team profiles
Central Arkansas
Tarleton State
When Central Arkansas has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
CARK offense
#28
TAR defense
#65
Success rates
46%
#28
44%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#96
0.15
#85
EPA / play
0.22
#39
0.24
#117
Explosiveness
When Tarleton State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
CARK defense
#51
TAR offense
#7
Success rates
43%
#51
50%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#72
0.36
#1
EPA / play
0.21
#77
0.25
#7
Explosiveness
Current key players
Central Arkansas
DL
Trevion Traylor
19 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.3
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
127
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
83.1
19/1549
OL
Joey Su'a
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.7
Run blocking
79.2
Penalties
0
80.5
11/1368
RB
Enoch Assan
64 yds · 1 TD · 21.3 YPC
79.7
40/631
TE
Que Tillman
10 rush yds · 1 TD · 3 car
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.1
Run blocking
64.9
Penalties
0
75.9
16/526
OL
Senon Chapple
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.2
Run blocking
71.2
Penalties
1
73.8
56/1368
DL
Jakobe Shell
17 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.1
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
87
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.6
162/1549
Tarleton State
QB
Kaden Anderson
1345 yds · 12 TD · 0 INT
91.5
5/370
RB
Markellus Bass
57 yds · 1 TD · 14.2 YPC
90.5
5/631
LB
Kenyon Partridge
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
28
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.2
7/1054
LB
Chris Robinson
29 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.3
Coverage
76.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
85.1
16/1054
WR
Marquis Willis
29 rec · 468 yds · 4 TD
82.2
15/1229
WR
Bryce Parker
10 rec · 140 yds · 1 TD
80.7
22/1229
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CARK
Central Arkansas
TAR
Tarleton State
vs
Offense
68.8
#76
of 125
QB
Quarterback
91.5
#5
of 125
75.5
#37
of 126
RB
Running backs
85.5
#3
of 126
63.9
#111
of 126
WR
Receivers
78.0
#4
of 126
75.9
#15
of 124
TE
Tight ends
77.3
#12
of 124
72.5
#12
of 125
OL
Offensive line
73.2
#7
of 125
Defense
74.8
#27
of 126
DL
Defensive line
72.5
#43
of 126
65.0
#113
of 126
LB
Linebackers
82.5
#4
of 126
64.9
#123
of 126
DB
Secondary
71.5
#62
of 126
Common opponents