CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
DAY 41.7%58.3% BTLR
Projected margin
BTLR by 3.4
Projected total
49
80% outcome range
DAY 18 to BTLR 25
Win probability
BTLR 58.3%

Current team profiles

Dayton
Butler

When Dayton has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
DAY offense
#105
BTLR defense
#99
Success rates
40%
#105
47%
#99
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#95
0.21
#110
EPA / play
0.20
#69
0.20
#57
Explosiveness

When Butler has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
DAY defense
#67
BTLR offense
#65
Success rates
44%
#67
44%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#70
0.14
#47
EPA / play
0.23
#108
0.18
#106
Explosiveness

Current key players

Dayton
QBBryce Schondelmyer
725 yds · 5 TD · 4 INT
75.168/370
LBDavid Curl III
20 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.9
Coverage
76.9
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
17
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.143/1054
DLZane Plattner
10 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.657/1549
DLGriffin Suren
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.2
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
32
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.276/1549
RBMason Hackett
174 yds · 1 TD · 4.0 YPC
76.963/631
DBJavawn Brooks
14 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.4
Coverage
80.5
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
29
Passer rating allowed
8.9
Missed tackles
3
76.995/1765
Butler
QBGabe Passini
534 yds · 9 TD · 0 INT
81.335/370
RBJack Linden
60 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
90.74/631
DLRylan Keesling
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
87.87/1549
LBWill Beesley
25 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
82.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
80.240/1054
DBBlair Schonhorst
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
78.1
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
49
Passer rating allowed
7.9
Missed tackles
0
79.057/1765
OLLuke Pedersen
Player detail
Pass blocking
72.5
Run blocking
77.0
Penalties
0
78.218/1368
Position units

Position-unit comparison

DAY
BTLR
vs
Offense
75.1
#52 of 125
QB
81.3
#31 of 125
75.2
#41 of 126
RB
82.2
#5 of 126
68.2
#71 of 126
WR
73.8
#22 of 126
74.7
#19 of 124
TE
63.4
#69 of 124
67.1
#39 of 125
OL
73.5
#5 of 125
Defense
73.7
#34 of 126
DL
79.4
#6 of 126
66.1
#109 of 126
LB
75.7
#25 of 126
70.7
#76 of 126
DB
74.0
#31 of 126
Common opponents