CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 4:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
VAL 22.5%77.5% USD
Projected margin
USD by 12.5
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
VAL 9 to USD 34
Win probability
USD 77.5%

Current team profiles

Valparaiso
San Diego

When Valparaiso has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
VAL offense
#62
USD defense
#111
Success rates
44%
#62
48%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#90
0.24
#117
EPA / play
0.18
#115
0.25
#122
Explosiveness

When San Diego has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
VAL defense
#89
USD offense
#54
Success rates
46%
#89
44%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#93
0.13
#51
EPA / play
0.22
#96
0.20
#69
Explosiveness

Current key players

Valparaiso
LBMax Samuel
28 tkl · 9.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.9
Coverage
74.9
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
82.228/1054
DLMac McCormick
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.940/1549
WRMicah Mackay
14 rec · 113 yds · 1 TD
76.060/1229
OLMason Knoch
Player detail
Pass blocking
61.3
Run blocking
79.6
Penalties
0
74.943/1368
KLuke Scoma
4/6 FG · 0%
74.146/416
DBNick Beidl
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.0229/1765
San Diego
QBDom Nankil
1179 yds · 7 TD · 5 INT
89.39/370
LBGlenn Baranoski
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
65.2
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.11/1054
KCarter Shupper
0 punts · 0.0 avg
79.39/416
KEmiliano Salazar
4/6 FG · 0%
79.110/416
DBMichael Roni
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
78.667/1765
LBTim Hays
28 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
76.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
26
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.677/1054
Position units

Position-unit comparison

VAL
USD
vs
Offense
68.5
#78 of 125
QB
89.3
#9 of 125
67.0
#100 of 126
RB
67.7
#92 of 126
69.7
#59 of 126
WR
69.9
#56 of 126
68.5
#40 of 124
TE
67.4
#46 of 124
69.4
#25 of 125
OL
69.4
#24 of 125
Defense
71.0
#59 of 126
DL
68.5
#93 of 126
74.8
#31 of 126
LB
79.9
#8 of 126
69.8
#87 of 126
DB
68.5
#101 of 126
Common opponents