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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 4:00 PM ET
#247
Away
Valparaiso
3-3
· AVR 30.3
20
20
p
at
#243
Home
San Diego
2-4
· AVR 31.1
31
31
p
Forecast win probability
VAL 22.5%
77.5% USD
Projected margin
USD by 12.5
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
VAL 9 to USD 34
Win probability
USD 77.5%
Current team profiles
Valparaiso
San Diego
When Valparaiso has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
VAL offense
#62
USD defense
#111
Success rates
44%
#62
48%
#111
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#90
0.24
#117
EPA / play
0.18
#115
0.25
#122
Explosiveness
When San Diego has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
VAL defense
#89
USD offense
#54
Success rates
46%
#89
44%
#54
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#93
0.13
#51
EPA / play
0.22
#96
0.20
#69
Explosiveness
Current key players
Valparaiso
LB
Max Samuel
28 tkl · 9.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.9
Coverage
74.9
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
82.2
28/1054
DL
Mac McCormick
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.9
40/1549
WR
Micah Mackay
14 rec · 113 yds · 1 TD
76.0
60/1229
OL
Mason Knoch
Player detail
Pass blocking
61.3
Run blocking
79.6
Penalties
0
74.9
43/1368
K
Luke Scoma
4/6 FG · 0%
74.1
46/416
DB
Nick Beidl
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.0
229/1765
San Diego
QB
Dom Nankil
1179 yds · 7 TD · 5 INT
89.3
9/370
LB
Glenn Baranoski
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
65.2
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
91.1
1/1054
K
Carter Shupper
0 punts · 0.0 avg
79.3
9/416
K
Emiliano Salazar
4/6 FG · 0%
79.1
10/416
DB
Michael Roni
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
78.6
67/1765
LB
Tim Hays
28 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
76.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
26
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.6
77/1054
Position units
Position-unit comparison
VAL
Valparaiso
USD
San Diego
vs
Offense
68.5
#78
of 125
QB
Quarterback
89.3
#9
of 125
67.0
#100
of 126
RB
Running backs
67.7
#92
of 126
69.7
#59
of 126
WR
Receivers
69.9
#56
of 126
68.5
#40
of 124
TE
Tight ends
67.4
#46
of 124
69.4
#25
of 125
OL
Offensive line
69.4
#24
of 125
Defense
71.0
#59
of 126
DL
Defensive line
68.5
#93
of 126
74.8
#31
of 126
LB
Linebackers
79.9
#8
of 126
69.8
#87
of 126
DB
Secondary
68.5
#101
of 126
Common opponents