Passing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ offense
- #19
- MISS defense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.43
#19
0.25
#98
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MIZ 43.3%56.7% MISS
- Projected margin
- MISS by 2.5
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- MIZ 16 to MISS 21
- Win probability
- MISS 56.7%
Current team profiles
Missouri
Ole MissWhen Missouri has the ball
Rushing
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ offense
- #72
- MISS defense
- #102
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
MIZ offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ offense
- #79
- MISS defense
- #114
Success rates
43%
#79
45%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#46
0.15
#105
EPA / play
1.30
#30
1.17
#42
Explosiveness
16%
#93
16%
#65
Havoc
When Ole Miss has the ball
Passing
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ defense
- #38
- MISS offense
- #15
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.45
#15
Pass EPA
Rushing
MIZ defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ defense
- #29
- MISS offense
- #42
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.17
#42
Rush EPA
Drive success
MISS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MIZ defense
- #20
- MISS offense
- #4
Success rates
35%
#20
53%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#33
0.27
#26
EPA / play
1.34
#114
1.13
#115
Explosiveness
22%
#4
13%
#37
Havoc
Current key players
MissouriQBAustin Simmons
1270 yds · 13 TD · 0 INT
88.428/729
WRCayden Lee
33 rec · 496 yds · 4 TD
91.35/2069
LBRobert Woodyard Jr.
32 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 92.5
- Coverage
- 55.4
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 12
- Missed tackles
- 6
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.5126/1796
CBJahlil Florence
6 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 9.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.7168/2969
SCJ Bass III
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.0
- Coverage
- 78.9
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.5210/2969
SSantana Banner
42 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.2
- Coverage
- 79.1
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 155
- Passer rating allowed
- 128.9
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.2218/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Cayden Green · OGout · 2026-09-20
Green is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Gavin Hoffman · TEout · 2026-09-20
Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Ahmad Hardy · RBout · 2026-09-11
Hardy is dealing with a leg injury, and and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Jabari Brady · WRout · 2026-09-20
Brady is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Darris Smith · DLQues. · 2026-10-10
Smith is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against the Ole Miss on Saturday, October 17th.
Ole MissQBTrinidad Chambliss
1222 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
85.044/729
TECaleb Odom
13 rec · 201 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 74.8
- Run blocking
- 70.3
- Penalties
- 1
79.427/1017
WRDeuce Alexander
27 rec · 429 yds · 4 TD
78.567/2069
WRDillon Alfred
1 rec · 34 yds · 0 TD
77.185/2069
RBKewan Lacy
191 yds · 4 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.0150/1044
CBDorian Barney
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.4
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.5256/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Izaiah Hartrup · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Hartrup is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MIZMissouri
MISSOle Miss
vs
Offense
88.4
#27 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.0
#40 of 138
69.8
#121 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.9
#114 of 138
77.6
#19 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.1
#25 of 138
70.1
#63 of 138
TE
Tight ends
79.4
#26 of 138
77.3
#9 of 138
OL
Offensive line
64.5
#100 of 138
Defense
81.3
#11 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.0
#71 of 138
72.7
#81 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.2
#94 of 138
73.6
#49 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.9
#99 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Missouri
opponent
Ole Miss
Hhome+28.0
FLAFlorida#22-24.0Aaway
Aaway-7.0
MSSTMississippi State#35+7.6Hhome
Hhome-2.6
TEXTexas#7-8.0Aaway
Hhome+2.5
OUOklahoma#19-2.9Aaway
Aaway-12.1
UGAGeorgia#6-6.9Hhome