Passing
MSST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VAN offense
- #76
- MSST defense
- #75
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.16
#75
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
VAN 44.3%55.7% MSST
- Projected margin
- MSST by 2.1
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- VAN 16 to MSST 21
- Win probability
- MSST 55.7%
Current team profiles
VanderbiltMississippi StateWhen Vanderbilt has the ball
Rushing
MSST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VAN offense
- #79
- MSST defense
- #73
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
MSST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- VAN offense
- #102
- MSST defense
- #78
Success rates
40%
#102
41%
#78
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#105
0.09
#88
EPA / play
1.25
#57
1.16
#40
Explosiveness
16%
#101
17%
#43
Havoc
When Mississippi State has the ball
Passing
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- VAN defense
- #93
- MSST offense
- #19
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
0.43
#19
Pass EPA
Rushing
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- VAN defense
- #81
- MSST offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.06
#81
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
MSST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- VAN defense
- #97
- MSST offense
- #29
Success rates
43%
#97
48%
#29
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#92
0.28
#24
EPA / play
1.22
#72
1.32
#27
Explosiveness
15%
#83
14%
#63
Havoc
Current key players
VanderbiltQBWhit Muschamp
18 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
73.9121/729
TEMaurice Veney
1 rec · 20 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.9
- Run blocking
- 78.6
- Penalties
- 0
82.818/1017
SCJ Heard
40 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.9
- Coverage
- 86.7
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 116
- Passer rating allowed
- 121.1
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.951/2969
SMason Lewis
20 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.8
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 72
- Passer rating allowed
- 77.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
79.274/2969
LBBryan Longwell
31 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.5
- Coverage
- 65.1
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 42
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.7163/1796
SRicardo Jones
22 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.7
- Coverage
- 80.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 43
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.1
- Missed tackles
- 5
75.1190/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Kahden Smith · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Smith has been out of the lineup due to a leg injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.
- J. Curtis · LBQues. · 2026-10-11
Curtis is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Razorbacks on Saturday, October 17th.
Mississippi StateQBKamario Taylor
1450 yds · 17 TD · 4 INT
73.0130/729
RBJ.J. Hill
124 yds · 2 TD · 12.4 YPC
90.09/1044
CBJett Jefferson
25 tkl · 8 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.9
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 31
- Rec allowed
- 15
- Yards allowed
- 164
- Passer rating allowed
- 96.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
85.124/2969
WRAnthony Evans III
40 rec · 574 yds · 5 TD
82.834/2069
SJardin Gilbert
26 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.2
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 75
- Passer rating allowed
- 158.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.8100/2969
SIsaac Smith
17 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.3
- Coverage
- 76.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6171/2969
Availability reports · 4
- A. Williams · WRout · 2026-10-01
Williams is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unlikely to play Saturday against the Alabama.
- Trevion Williams · DLout · 2026-09-26
Williams is sidelined due to Leg injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Bull Mitchell · WRout · 2026-09-20
Mitchell is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Jamari Freeman · OGQues. · 2026-10-03
Freeman is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against LSU on Saturday, October 10th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
VANVanderbilt
MSSTMississippi State
vs
Offense
73.9
#86 of 138
QB
Quarterback
73.0
#89 of 138
69.7
#123 of 138
RB
Running backs
89.0
#3 of 138
66.9
#122 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.4
#32 of 138
82.8
#18 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.6
#92 of 138
61.2
#126 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.3
#113 of 138
Defense
71.4
#92 of 138
DL
Defensive line
73.2
#66 of 138
69.4
#107 of 138
LB
Linebackers
66.7
#126 of 138
76.1
#24 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.3
#22 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Vanderbilt
opponent
Mississippi State
Hhome-35.0
MISSOle Miss#14-7.6Aaway
Hhome-13.4
ALAAlabama#3-33.0Hhome
Aaway-6.0
AUBAuburn#42+1.4Hhome