CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Fri Oct 16 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
COLU 25.5%74.5% PENN
Projected margin
PENN by 10.9
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
COLU 10 to PENN 32
Win probability
PENN 74.5%

Current team profiles

Columbia
Pennsylvania

When Columbia has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
COLU offense
#36
PENN defense
#25
Success rates
45%
#36
41%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#108
0.04
#26
EPA / play
0.20
#84
0.18
#11
Explosiveness

When Pennsylvania has the ball

Drive success

No comparison
COLU defense
#36
PENN offense
#53
Success rates
42%
#36
44%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#87
0.06
#94
EPA / play
0.21
#68
0.19
#93
Explosiveness

Current key players

Columbia
QBXander Menapace
2 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
71.788/370
RBGriffin Johnson
308 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
79.736/631
LBAJ George
18 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.9
Coverage
68.4
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
77.763/1054
WRBryce Coleman
20 rec · 270 yds · 4 TD
74.972/1229
DLKeelan Kornegay-Douhadji
2 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.4139/1549
KHugo Merry
4/4 FG · 0%
72.166/416
Pennsylvania
LBLuke McIlhon
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
50.4
Coverage
91.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.117/1054
WRSimon Cofrancesco
8 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
80.224/1229
DLCosmo Fusco
1 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8107/1549
DBEzra Fearon
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.5
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
72.2264/1765
DBJayden Drayton
10 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
76.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
58
Passer rating allowed
92.2
Missed tackles
2
71.7291/1765
DBDevin Malloy
6 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.4
Coverage
64.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
71.7292/1765
Position units

Position-unit comparison

COLU
PENN
vs
Offense
71.7
#64 of 125
QB
56.9
#119 of 125
72.9
#56 of 126
RB
65.2
#113 of 126
68.5
#69 of 126
WR
69.0
#63 of 126
61.9
#77 of 124
TE
62.0
#76 of 124
62.0
#97 of 125
OL
61.4
#104 of 125
Defense
68.7
#90 of 126
DL
69.2
#80 of 126
69.0
#89 of 126
LB
74.3
#36 of 126
69.8
#86 of 126
DB
69.2
#89 of 126
Common opponents