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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Fri Oct 16
· 7:00 PM ET
#200
Away
Columbia
3-1
· AVR 37.4
20
20
p
at
#199
Home
Pennsylvania
2-2
· AVR 37.5
31
31
p
Forecast win probability
COLU 25.5%
74.5% PENN
Projected margin
PENN by 10.9
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
COLU 10 to PENN 32
Win probability
PENN 74.5%
Current team profiles
Columbia
Pennsylvania
When Columbia has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
COLU offense
#36
PENN defense
#25
Success rates
45%
#36
41%
#25
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#108
0.04
#26
EPA / play
0.20
#84
0.18
#11
Explosiveness
When Pennsylvania has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
COLU defense
#36
PENN offense
#53
Success rates
42%
#36
44%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#87
0.06
#94
EPA / play
0.21
#68
0.19
#93
Explosiveness
Current key players
Columbia
QB
Xander Menapace
2 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
71.7
88/370
RB
Griffin Johnson
308 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
79.7
36/631
LB
AJ George
18 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.9
Coverage
68.4
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
5
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
77.7
63/1054
WR
Bryce Coleman
20 rec · 270 yds · 4 TD
74.9
72/1229
DL
Keelan Kornegay-Douhadji
2 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.4
139/1549
K
Hugo Merry
4/4 FG · 0%
72.1
66/416
Pennsylvania
LB
Luke McIlhon
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
50.4
Coverage
91.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
85.1
17/1054
WR
Simon Cofrancesco
8 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
80.2
24/1229
DL
Cosmo Fusco
1 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.8
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.8
107/1549
DB
Ezra Fearon
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.5
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
72.2
264/1765
DB
Jayden Drayton
10 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
76.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
58
Passer rating allowed
92.2
Missed tackles
2
71.7
291/1765
DB
Devin Malloy
6 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.4
Coverage
64.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-2
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
71.7
292/1765
Position units
Position-unit comparison
COLU
Columbia
PENN
Pennsylvania
vs
Offense
71.7
#64
of 125
QB
Quarterback
56.9
#119
of 125
72.9
#56
of 126
RB
Running backs
65.2
#113
of 126
68.5
#69
of 126
WR
Receivers
69.0
#63
of 126
61.9
#77
of 124
TE
Tight ends
62.0
#76
of 124
62.0
#97
of 125
OL
Offensive line
61.4
#104
of 125
Defense
68.7
#90
of 126
DL
Defensive line
69.2
#80
of 126
69.0
#89
of 126
LB
Linebackers
74.3
#36
of 126
69.8
#86
of 126
DB
Secondary
69.2
#89
of 126
Common opponents