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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 8:00 PM ET
#173
Away
Cal Poly
4-3
· AVR 41.0
28
28
p
at
#189
Home
Northern Colorado
2-5
· AVR 38.9
27
27
p
Forecast win probability
CP 51.9%
48.1% UNCO
Projected margin
CP by 0.8
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
CP 22 to UNCO 20
Win probability
CP 51.9%
Current team profiles
Cal Poly
Northern Colorado
When Cal Poly has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
CP offense
#33
UNCO defense
#122
Success rates
46%
#33
49%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#44
0.19
#103
EPA / play
0.21
#48
0.23
#106
Explosiveness
When Northern Colorado has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
CP defense
#99
UNCO offense
#28
Success rates
47%
#99
46%
#28
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#114
0.16
#37
EPA / play
0.21
#73
0.23
#22
Explosiveness
Current key players
Cal Poly
QB
Lucas Razore
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.5
60/370
RB
Jaden Green
782 yds · 5 TD · 6.9 YPC
79.7
39/631
WR
Tayvion McCoy
34 rec · 490 yds · 4 TD
77.4
45/1229
DB
Logan Carpenter
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
7
Passer rating allowed
95.8
Missed tackles
0
77.2
91/1765
LB
Shane Ramstad
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.5
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.7
76/1054
LB
Kenny Olson
61 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.4
Coverage
75.5
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
43
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
76.2
83/1054
Northern Colorado
QB
Kenny Lueth
729 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
81.9
30/370
DB
Cadence Turner
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
80
Passer rating allowed
41.0
Missed tackles
0
83.4
20/1765
DB
Mikhail Benner
28 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.1
Coverage
74.0
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
78
Passer rating allowed
84.4
Missed tackles
2
78.5
68/1765
DL
Dominic Butts
20 tkl · 10.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Pressures
21
Pass-rush snaps
89
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
77.9
66/1549
LB
Hudson Voggesser
33 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
69.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
12
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
76.0
86/1054
OL
Montrey Strickland
Player detail
Pass blocking
65.8
Run blocking
77.3
Penalties
0
75.5
35/1368
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CP
Cal Poly
UNCO
Northern Colorado
vs
Offense
76.5
#46
of 125
QB
Quarterback
81.9
#28
of 125
77.8
#21
of 126
RB
Running backs
67.0
#99
of 126
71.2
#38
of 126
WR
Receivers
65.4
#99
of 126
61.1
#85
of 124
TE
Tight ends
58.6
#104
of 124
69.0
#26
of 125
OL
Offensive line
66.0
#47
of 125
Defense
68.7
#88
of 126
DL
Defensive line
74.0
#29
of 126
75.2
#28
of 126
LB
Linebackers
70.1
#79
of 126
72.2
#52
of 126
DB
Secondary
75.3
#20
of 126
Common opponents