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2026
WK
7
All games
Week 7 · Sat Oct 17
· 7:00 PM ET
#226
Away
Portland State
2-4
· AVR 33.8
17
17
p
at
#148
Home
Northern Arizona
5-2
· AVR 45.5
38
38
p
Forecast win probability
PRST 11.7%
88.3% NAU
Projected margin
NAU by 19.6
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
PRST 2 to NAU 41
Win probability
NAU 88.3%
Current team profiles
Portland State
Northern Arizona
When Portland State has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
PRST offense
#76
NAU defense
#124
Success rates
43%
#76
50%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#76
0.15
#86
EPA / play
0.18
#109
0.24
#116
Explosiveness
When Northern Arizona has the ball
Drive success
No comparison
PRST defense
#114
NAU offense
#13
Success rates
48%
#114
49%
#13
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#110
0.19
#27
EPA / play
0.25
#121
0.23
#22
Explosiveness
Current key players
Portland State
QB
Tyrese Smith
268 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
77.3
56/370
RB
Bo Gionet
— yds · — TD · — YPC
84.0
13/631
QB
John-Keawe Sagapolutele
161 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
76.5
59/370
DB
Terahiti Wolfe
7 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.3
Coverage
77.9
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
66
Passer rating allowed
46.7
Missed tackles
1
75.7
121/1765
RB
Delon Thompson
411 yds · 3 TD · 5.1 YPC
73.4
108/631
K
Joshua Hossmann Lees
6/8 FG · 0%
73.3
55/416
Northern Arizona
QB
Ty Pennington
1299 yds · 9 TD · 3 INT
75.5
66/370
RB
Kenveon Stone
303 yds · 6 TD · 7.2 YPC
84.9
11/631
DL
Nikhil Webb-Walker
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
63.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
53
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
80.1
39/1549
LB
Jaiden Letua
31 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.9
Coverage
76.9
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
26
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
77.4
67/1054
RB
Quran Gossett
393 yds · 3 TD · 4.4 YPC
76.1
72/631
DB
Isaiah Sensabaugh
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.4
Coverage
66.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
8
Passer rating allowed
100.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1
226/1765
Position units
Position-unit comparison
PRST
Portland State
NAU
Northern Arizona
vs
Offense
77.3
#44
of 125
QB
Quarterback
75.5
#51
of 125
78.7
#14
of 126
RB
Running backs
80.5
#10
of 126
67.2
#82
of 126
WR
Receivers
65.1
#103
of 126
59.6
#96
of 124
TE
Tight ends
69.9
#33
of 124
56.1
#123
of 125
OL
Offensive line
64.0
#66
of 125
Defense
63.0
#124
of 126
DL
Defensive line
70.8
#63
of 126
65.8
#110
of 126
LB
Linebackers
73.2
#44
of 126
69.1
#90
of 126
DB
Secondary
72.1
#55
of 126
Common opponents