AVRCFB Model

2023 FCS Predictions

Every FCS-vs-FCS game from a deliberately simple model: score-based strength ratings plus home field. Regular season only. FCS rankings · FBS predictions

Season
2023
Graded
610
Winners
70.7%
MAE
12.98
Sat Nov 25 · 7:00 PM · neutralhit
#64Southern
SWAC
27spread -4.0
#83Grambling
SWAC
22
Pregame win probability
Southern 60%40% Grambling
Margin (home)
-4.0
Off by
1.0
80% interval -25 … +17Result -5